Miami Heat at Cleveland Cavaliers NBA Picks & Predictions 11/28/2017

Tuesday, November 28, 2017

Quicken Loans Arena

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

The Miami Heat travel to Quicken Loans Arena to play the Cleveland Cavaliers on Tuesday, November 28, 2017. The opening line for this matchup has Cleveland as 5.5 point favorites.

The Heat head into this matchup with a mark of 10-9. They are 2nd in the Southeast Division. They currently have a point differential of -1.1 as they are averaging 100.9 points per contest while giving up 102.0 per game. The Cavaliers have an overall record of 12-7. They currently are 2nd in the Central Division. They are averaging 110.8 points per game and surrendering 110.1, good for a point differential of 0.7.

Valuable Miami Heat Betting Trends

The Miami Heat are 7-10-2 against the spread

The Miami Heat are 8-10-1 against the over/under

Important Cleveland Cavaliers Betting Trends

The Cleveland Cavaliers are 6-12-1 against the spread

The Cleveland Cavaliers are 11-7-1 against the over/under

Key Miami Heat Injuries

11/27/17 C Hassan Whiteside Knee is probable Tuesday vs. Cleveland

Key Cleveland Cavaliers Injuries

11/26/17 G Iman Shumpert Knee is upgraded to probable Monday vs. Philadelphia
11/17/17 PG Derrick Rose Ankle is out indefinitely
11/02/17 C Tristan Thompson Calf is out indefinitely
10/16/17 PG Isaiah Thomas Hip is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Goran Dragic comes into this contest averaging 19.2 points per game while playing 33.7 minutes per night so far this season for the Heat. He pulls down 4.2 rebounds per game and dishes out 4.6 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 47% while his free throw percentage is currently at 82%. Dion Waiters averages 15.4 points per game in 31.4 minutes per contest this season. He averages 3.4 assists per contest and 2.9 rebounds per game for Miami. His field goal percentage is 40% for the year while his free throw percentage is 85%.

Player Spotlight

Kevin Love averages 17.9 points per game while playing 29.8 minutes per contest this year for the Cavaliers. He grabs 10.4 rebounds per game and has 1.9 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 46% and his free throw percentage currently is at 90%. Lebron James averages 28.5 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 37.7 minutes per contest. He also averages 7.8 rebounds per contest and 8.6 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 58% and his free throw percentage is 77%.

Useful Team Statistics

Miami averages 100.9 points per contest this season, which ranks them 25th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is -1.11 and their shooting percentage is 45% as a team, which has them ranked 19th. Behind the arc they shoot 36% which is good for 13th in the league. They average 43.4 rebounds per game and 20.6 assists per game, which ranks them 16th and 25th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 8th with 16.2 per game. The Heat allow 102 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 8th in the league. They also allow a 44% shooting percentage and a 38% average from behind the arc, ranking them 5th and 24th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 44.3 rebounds a game which ranks 21st and they give up 19 assists per contest, which puts them in 3rd place in the league. They force 13.9 turnovers per game which ranks them 4th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Cleveland is 3rd in the league with 110.8 points per game this year. They are 5th in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is 0.74. They shoot 36% from 3-point range, which is good for 15th in the NBA. They are 20th in the league in rebounding with 42.7 boards per game, and 15th in assists per contest with 22.3. The Cavaliers are 16th in turnovers per game with 15.2. The Cavaliers surrender 110.1 points per contest, which ranks them 27th in the NBA. Their defense is allowing a 47% shooting percentage and a 38% average from 3-point range, ranking them 25th and 27th in those defensive statistics. They rank 29th with 25.4 assists allowed per contest and 14th with 43.4 rebounds surrendered per game. The Cavaliers are 6th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 14.4 per game this season.

Advanced Statistics

The Heat are 25th in the NBA in offensive rating with 103.8, and their defensive rating of 104.9 is ranked 21st. In terms of pace they are 20th in the league with 96.7 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 52% is 13th. As a team they are 14th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 39% of their shots, ranking 3rd in the league. Miami is 2nd in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 15.1 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.8 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 49%, which is 26th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Cleveland is 15th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.8 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.9 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 54%, which is 5th in the NBA. The Cavaliers are 4th in the league in defensive rating with 111.2, and their offensive rating of 111.9 is ranked 2nd. They are 11th in the NBA in pace with 98.5 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 54% is 4th. As a unit they are 4th in the league in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 38% of their shot attempts, ranking 5th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Heat/Cavaliers NBA game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Cleveland -5.5

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