Sunday, April 2, 2017

American Airlines Arena

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

The Denver Nuggets travel to American Airlines Arena to play the Miami Heat on Sunday, April 2, 2017. The opening line for this matchup has Miami as 4 point favorites.

The Nuggets come into this game with an overall record of 35-40. They are 4th in the Northwest Division. They currently have a point differential of 0.1 as they are averaging 111.5 points per game while giving up 111.4 per contest. The Heat have an overall record of 37-39. They currently are 3rd in the Southeast Division. They are averaging 102.6 points per game and surrendering 101.8, good for a point differential of 0.8.

Valuable Denver Nuggets Betting Trends

The Denver Nuggets are 40-34-1 against the spread

The Denver Nuggets are 48-26-1 against the over/under

Important Miami Heat Betting Trends

The Miami Heat are 46-30-0 against the spread

The Miami Heat are 34-42-0 against the over/under

Key Denver Nuggets Injuries

04/01/17 F Danilo Gallinari Knee probable Sunday vs. Miami
04/01/17 F Darrell Arthur Knee "?" Sunday vs. Miami
04/01/17 PG Jameer Nelson Calf injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. Miami
04/01/17 F Will Barton Foot "?" Sunday vs. Miami
03/04/17 G Mo Williams Knee out for season

Key Miami Heat Injuries

12/27/16 F Josh McRoberts Foot out indefinitely
10/22/16 F Chris Bosh Blood Clot out for season
03/18/17 G Dion Waiters Ankle out indefinitely
01/04/17 F Justise Winslow Shoulder out for season

Player Spotlight

Gary Harris comes into this contest averaging 14.9 points per game while playing 30.7 minutes per night so far this season for the Nuggets. He pulls down 3 rebounds per game and dishes out 2.6 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 50% while his free throw percentage is currently at 79%. Nikola Jokic averages 16.5 points per game in 27.5 minutes per contest this season. He averages 4.8 assists per contest and 9.6 rebounds per game for Denver. His field goal percentage is 58% for the year while his free throw percentage is 83%.

For expert handicapping advice on this matchup and other NBA games check out our handicapping tips.

Player Spotlight

Hassan Whiteside averages 16.8 points per game while playing 32.6 minutes per contest this year for the Heat. He grabs 14.1 rebounds per game and has 0.7 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 56% and his free throw percentage currently is at 62%. Goran Dragic averages 20.1 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 33.5 minutes per contest. He also averages 3.9 rebounds per contest and 5.9 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 48% and his free throw percentage is 79%.

Useful Team Statistics

Denver averages 111.5 points per contest this season which ranks them 3rd in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 0.04 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a team which has them ranked 7th. Behind the arc they shoot 37% which is good for 8th in the league. They average 46.3 rebounds per game and 25.2 assists per game which ranks them 2nd and 2nd in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 8th with 15 per game. The Nuggets allow 111.4 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 27th in the league. They also allow a 48% shooting percentage and a 38% average from behind the arc ranking them 29th and 29th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 40.5 rebounds a game which ranks 3rd and they give up 24.2 assists per contest which puts them in 27th place in the league. They force 12 turnovers per game which ranks them 1st in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Miami averages 102.6 points per game this year which ranks them 22nd in the league. Their average scoring margin is 0.86 and their shooting percentage is 45% as a team which has them sitting in the 15th spot in the league. Behind the arc they shoot 36% which is good for 14th in the NBA. They average 43.7 rebounds per game and 21.1 assists per contest which ranks them 15th and 23rd respectively. In the turnover department the Heat rank 21st with 13.4 per game. The Heat allow 101.8 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 5th in the league. They also allow a 45% shooting percentage and a 34% average from behind the arc ranking them 7th and 4th in those defensive statistics. Opponents average 43.8 rebounds a game which ranks 16th and they give up 19.7 assists per contest which puts them in 2nd place in the league. The Heat force 13.6 turnovers per game which ranks them 12th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

The Nuggets have an offensive rating of 113.3 and a defensive rating of 113.2. In terms of pace they average 98 possessions per 48 minutes and their effective field goal percentage is 53%. As a team they have a true shooting percentage of 57% and they shoot 3 pointers on 33% of their shots. Denver turns the ball over an average of 13.2 times per 100 possessions and they force 11 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 54%.

Advanced Statistics

The Heat rating on offense is 107.5 and they have a defensive rating of 106.6. They get 95.1 possessions per 48 minutes and they have an effective field goal percentage of 51%. As a unit they have a true shooting percentage of 54% and they attempt 3 pointers on 31% of their shot attempts. Miami turns the ball over on 12.4 out of every 100 possessions and their opponents average 12.6 turnovers per 100 possessions. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the year is 49%.

Who will win tonight's Nuggets/Heat NBA game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Miami -4

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