Denver Nuggets at Dallas Mavericks NBA Picks & Predictions 12/4/2017

Monday, December 4, 2017

American Airlines Center

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

The Denver Nuggets head to American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Monday, December 4, 2017. The opening line for this game has Dallas as 3 point favorites.

The Nuggets come into this game with an overall record of 13-9. They are 1st in the Northwest Division. They currently have a point differential of 0.6 as they are averaging 106.9 points per game while giving up 106.3 per contest. The Mavericks have an overall mark of 6-17. They currently are 5th in the Southwest Division. They are averaging 99.8 points per contest and giving up 103.7, which is a point differential of -3.9.

Valuable Denver Nuggets Betting Trends

The Denver Nuggets are 9-13-0 against the spread

The Denver Nuggets are 9-13-0 against the over/under

Important Dallas Mavericks Betting Trends

The Dallas Mavericks are 9-14-0 against the spread

The Dallas Mavericks are 10-13-0 against the over/under

Key Denver Nuggets Injuries

12/02/17 C Nikola Jokic Ankle is "?"
12/02/17 F Wilson Chandler Back is "?"
11/21/17 F Paul Millsap Wrist is out indefinitely

Key Dallas Mavericks Injuries

12/02/17 F Nerlens Noel Thumb is "?" Monday vs Denver
11/14/17 F Dorian Finney-Smith Knee is out indefinitely
10/07/17 G Seth Curry Stress Fracture is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Will Barton comes into this game averaging 15.5 points per contest while playing 29.5 minutes per night so far this year. He grabs 5 rebounds per contest and distributes 2.8 assists per game. His FG percentage is 48% while his free throw percentage is 72%. Nikola Jokic averages 15.5 points per contest in 29.4 minutes per game this year. He averages 4.6 assists per game and 10.6 rebounds per contest for Denver. His field goal percentage is 51% for the season while his free throw percentage is 86%.

Player Spotlight

Dennis Smith has scored 14.2 points per contest while playing 28.1 minutes per game this season for the Mavericks. He hauls in 3.9 rebounds per contest and has 4.2 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 39% and his free throw percentage is at 65%. Harrison Barnes averages 18.3 points per game this year and he's on the court an average of 35.2 minutes per game. He also brings in 7.5 rebounds per game and 2 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 43% and his free throw percentage is 83%.

Useful Team Statistics

Denver averages 106.9 points per contest this year, which is 13th in the league. Their average scoring margin is 0.59 and their shooting percentage is 46% as a unit, which has them ranked 13th. From 3-point territory they shoot 37%, which is good for 13th in the NBA. They average 44.9 boards per contest and 23.1 assists per game, which ranks them 10th and 9th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 6th with 16.3 per game. The Nuggets allow 106.3 points per contest which is 16th in the NBA. They also surrender a 48% shooting percentage and a 38% average from 3-point range, ranking them 28th and 25th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 41.5 rebounds a game which ranks 6th, and they allow 24.4 assists per game which puts them in 24th place in the league. They force 16.3 turnovers per game which ranks them 25th in the NBA.

Useful Team Statistics

Dallas is 27th in the NBA with 99.8 points per contest this season. They are 29th in the league in shooting at 43%, while their average scoring margin is -3.91. They shoot 36% from beyond the arc, which is good for 18th in the league. They are 22nd in the NBA in rebounding with 42.2 boards per contest and 22nd in assists per game with 21.3. The Mavericks are 24th in turnovers per contest with 14.3. The Mavericks give up 103.7 points per game, which ranks them 10th in the league. Their defense is surrendering a 46% shooting percentage and a 37% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 15th and 15th in those defensive statistics. They rank 13th with 22.3 dimes allowed per game and 25th with 46 boards surrendered per contest. The Mavericks are 11th in the league in forcing turnovers with 14.9 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Nuggets are 8th in the league in defensive rating with 108.6, and their offensive rating of 109.2 is ranked 12th. They are 13th in the NBA in pace with 97.9 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 52% is 10th. As a unit they are 12th in the league in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 35% of their shot attempts, ranking 15th in the NBA. Denver is 6th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.5 times per 100 possessions while forcing 14.8 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 54%, which is 3rd in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Dallas is 22nd in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.3 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.9 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 53%, which is 12th in the league. The Mavericks are 26th in the NBA in offensive rating with 103.3, and their defensive rating of 107.3 is ranked 17th. In terms of pace they are 25th in the league with 96.2 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 50% is 25th. As a team they are 27th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 54% and they shoot 3-pointers on 39% of their shots, ranking 2nd in the league.

Who will win tonight's Nuggets/Mavericks NBA game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Dallas -3

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