Boston Celtics at Miami Heat NBA Picks & Predictions 10/28/2017

Saturday, October 28, 2017

American Airlines Arena

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

The Boston Celtics head to American Airlines Arena to take on the Miami Heat on Saturday, October 28, 2017. The opening line for this game has Boston as 1 point favorites.

The Celtics head into this matchup with a mark of 3-2. They are 2nd in the Atlantic Division. They currently have a point differential of 5.4 as they are averaging 101.4 points per contest while giving up 96.0 per game. The Heat have an overall record of 2-2. They currently are 4th in the Southeast Division. They are averaging 106.3 points per game and surrendering 108.5, good for a point differential of -2.2.

Valuable Boston Celtics Betting Trends

The Boston Celtics are 4-1-0 against the spread

The Boston Celtics are 1-4-0 against the over/under

Important Miami Heat Betting Trends

The Miami Heat are 0-3-1 against the spread

The Miami Heat are 3-1-0 against the over/under

Key Boston Celtics Injuries

10/17/17 SF Gordon Hayward Ankle is out indefinitely
10/15/17 F Marcus Morris Knee is out indefinitely

Key Miami Heat Injuries

10/27/17 C Hassan Whiteside Knee is "?" Saturday vs. Boston
10/14/17 G Rodney McGruder Tibia out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Kyrie Irving comes into this game averaging 20.8 points per contest while playing 35.6 minutes per night so far this year. He grabs 4 rebounds per contest and distributes 6.2 assists per game. His FG percentage is 41% while his free throw percentage is 91%. Al Horford averages 15.8 points per contest in 33 minutes per game this year. He averages 4.2 assists per game and 8.8 rebounds per contest for Boston. His field goal percentage is 52% for the season while his free throw percentage is 80%.

Player Spotlight

Dion Waiters has scored 15.3 points per contest while playing 33.3 minutes per game this season for the Heat. He hauls in 1.3 rebounds per contest and has 3 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 45% and his free throw percentage is at 57%. Goran Dragic averages 19.8 points per game this year and he's on the court an average of 33.3 minutes per game. He also brings in 3.8 rebounds per game and 4 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 48% and his free throw percentage is 77%.

Useful Team Statistics

Boston averages 101.4 points per contest this year, which is 20th in the league. Their average scoring margin is 5.4 and their shooting percentage is 43% as a unit, which has them ranked 23rd. From 3-point territory they shoot 37%, which is good for 7th in the NBA. They average 46 boards per contest and 22 assists per game, which ranks them 10th and 14th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 16th with 15.2 per game. The Celtics allow 96 points per contest which is 4th in the NBA. They also surrender a 44% shooting percentage and a 30% average from 3-point range, ranking them 10th and 5th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 44.4 rebounds a game which ranks 16th, and they allow 20 assists per game which puts them in 8th place in the league. They force 16.2 turnovers per game which ranks them 20th in the NBA.

Useful Team Statistics

Miami is 13th in the NBA with 106.3 points per contest this season. They are 6th in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is -2.25. They shoot 35% from beyond the arc, which is good for 13th in the league. They are 27th in the NBA in rebounding with 40.5 boards per contest and 9th in assists per game with 22.8. The Heat are 27th in turnovers per contest with 13.8. The Heat give up 108.5 points per game, which ranks them 21st in the league. Their defense is surrendering a 49% shooting percentage and a 43% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 28th and 30th in those defensive statistics. They rank 2nd with 18 dimes allowed per game and 22nd with 45.3 boards surrendered per contest. The Heat are 12th in the league in forcing turnovers with 15.5 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Celtics are 20th in the league in defensive rating with 97.5, and their offensive rating of 103 is ranked 28th. They are 15th in the NBA in pace with 98.5 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 50% is 19th. As a unit they are 20th in the league in true shooting percentage with 54% and they shoot 3-pointers on 36% of their shot attempts, ranking 12th in the NBA. Boston is 16th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.9 times per 100 possessions while forcing 14.9 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 48%, which is 24th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Miami is 27th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.5 times per 100 possessions while forcing 14 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 53%, which is 6th in the NBA. The Heat are 13th in the league in defensive rating with 108.9, and their offensive rating of 106.6 is ranked 9th. They are 13th in the NBA in pace with 99.6 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 53% is 6th. As a unit they are 12th in the league in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 36% of their shot attempts, ranking 11th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Celtics/Heat NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Boston -1

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