Friday, May 13, 2016

American Airlines Arena

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The Toronto Raptors travel to American Airlines Arena to play the Miami Heat on Friday, May 13, 2016. Toronto leads the series 3-2. The opening line for this game has Miami as 4.5 point favorites and the over/under has been set at 190.

The Raptors had a regular season record of 56-26 and a road record of 24-17. They were 1st in the Atlantic Division. They had a point differential of 4.5 as they averaged 102.7 points per game while giving up 98.2 per contest. Toronto was 14-2 against division opponents and they had a conference record of 39-13. The Heat had a regular season record of 48-34 and a home record of 28-13. They were 1st in the Southeast Division. They averaged 100 points per game and surrendered 98.4, good for a point differential of 1.6. Miami had a division record of 10-6 and a conference record of 31-21.

DeMar DeRozan comes into this contest after averaging 23.5 points per game while playing 35.9 minutes per night this season for the Raptors. He pulled down 4.5 rebounds per game and dished out 4 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage was 45% while his free throw percentage was at 85%. Kyle Lowry averaged 21.2 points per game in 37 minutes per contest this season. He averaged 6.4 assists per contest and 4.7 rebounds per game for Toronto. His field goal percentage was 43% for the year while his free throw percentage was 81%.

Goran Dragic averaged 14.1 points per game while playing 32.8 minutes per contest this year for the Heat. He grabbed 3.8 rebounds per game and had 5.8 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage was 48% and his free throw percentage was at 73%. Dwyane Wade averaged 19 points per game this season and he saw the court an average of 30.5 minutes per contest. He also averaged 4.1 rebounds per contest and 4.6 assists per game. His field goal percentage was 46% and his free throw percentage was 79%.

Toronto averaged 101.7 points per contest this season which ranked them 18th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin was 3.9 and their shooting percentage was 45% as a team which had them ranked 19th. Behind the arc they shot 36% which was good for 6th in the league. They averaged 53.1 rebounds per game and 18.5 assists per game which ranked them 11th and 29th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they ranked 5th with 13.1 per game. The Raptors allowed 97.8 points per game to their opponents which ranked them 4th in the league. They also allowed a 44% shooting percentage and a 37% average from behind the arc ranking them 11th and 29th in those defensive categories. Opponents averaged 48.8 rebounds a game which ranked 4th and they gave up 21.1 assists per contest which put them in 7th place in the league. They forced 13.5 turnovers per game which ranked them 21st in the league.

Miami averaged 99.8 points per game this year which ranked them 23rd in the league. Their average scoring margin was 2.1 and their shooting percentage was 47% as a team which had them sitting in the 4th spot in the league. Behind the arc they shot 34% which was good for 22nd in the NBA. They averaged 52.2 rebounds per game and 20.4 assists per contest which ranked them 14th and 26th respectively. In the turnover department the Heat ranked 14th with 14 per game. The Heat allowed 97.7 points per game to their opponents which ranked them 3rd in the league. They also allowed a 44% shooting percentage and a 34% average from behind the arc ranking them 6th and 8th in those defensive statistics. Opponents averaged 49.1 rebounds a game which ranked 6th and they gave up 19.6 assists per contest which put them in 2nd place in the league. The Heat forced 12.7 turnovers per game which ranked them 27th in the NBA.

The Raptors averaged 99.6 points per game on the road this season and they have scored 95.7 ppg in their past 3 contests. They had an average scoring differential of 1.9 on the road and in their past 3 games their difference is 0.7 per contest. The Raptors had an offensive rating of 110 and a defensive rating of 105.2. In terms of pace they averaged 92.9 possessions per 48 minutes and their effective field goal percentage was 50%. As a team they had a true shooting percentage of 55% and they shot 3 pointers on 29% of their shots. Toronto turned the ball over an average of 12.3 times per 100 possessions and they forced 12.7 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season was 50%.

The Heat scored 103.4 ppg at home and they have averaged 95 points per contest in their last 3 games. They have an average scoring differential of -0.7 in their past 3 contests and at home this season they had a difference of 6.3 points per game. The Heat rating on offense was 106.1 and they had a defensive rating of 104.4. They had 93.6 possessions per 48 minutes and they had an effective field goal percentage of 51%. As a unit they had a true shooting percentage of 55% and they attempted 3 pointers on 22% of their shot attempts. Miami turned the ball over on 13.3 out of every 100 possessions and their opponents averaged 12.1 turnovers per 100 possessions. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the year was 49%.

Toronto Raptors Betting Trends

The Toronto Raptors were 44-37-1 against the spread

The Toronto Raptors were 43-37-2 against the over/under

Miami Heat Betting Trends

The Miami Heat were 43-38-1 against the spread

The Miami Heat were 34-48-0 against the over/under

Toronto Raptors Injuries

05/12/16 G DeMar DeRozan Thumb probable Friday vs. Miami
05/11/16 F DeMarre Carroll Wrist injured last game, "?" Friday vs. Miami
05/08/16 C Jonas Valanciunas Ankle out indefinitely

Miami Heat Injuries

05/11/16 F Luol Deng Wrist injured last game, "?" Friday vs. Toronto
05/08/16 C Hassan Whiteside Knee out indefinitely
02/17/16 F Chris Bosh Blood Clot out for season

Tony's Pick: Take Toronto

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