Wednesday, May 11, 2016

Air Canada Centre

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The Miami Heat travel to Air Canada Centre to play the Toronto Raptors on Wednesday, May 11, 2016. The series is tied 2-2. The opening line for this game has Toronto as 4.5 point favorites and the over/under has been set at 187.

The Heat had a regular season record of 48-34 and a road record of 20-21. They were 1st in the Southeast Division. They had a point differential of 1.6 as they averaged 100 points per game while giving up 98.4 per contest. Miami was 10-6 against division opponents and they had a conference record of 31-21. The Raptors had a regular season record of 56-26 and a home record of 32-9. They were 1st in the Atlantic Division. They averaged 102.7 points per game and surrendered 98.2, good for a point differential of 4.5. Toronto had a division record of 14-2 and a conference record of 39-13.

Dwyane Wade comes into this contest after averaging 19 points per game while playing 30.5 minutes per night this season for the Heat. He pulled down 4.1 rebounds per game and dished out 4.6 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage was 46% while his free throw percentage was at 79%. Joe Johnson averaged 12.2 points per game in 33.4 minutes per contest this season. He averaged 3.9 assists per contest and 3.6 rebounds per game for Miami. His field goal percentage was 44% for the year while his free throw percentage was 83%.

Kyle Lowry averaged 21.2 points per game while playing 37 minutes per contest this year for the Raptors. He grabbed 4.7 rebounds per game and had 6.4 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage was 43% and his free throw percentage was at 81%. DeMar DeRozan averaged 23.5 points per game this season and he saw the court an average of 35.9 minutes per contest. He also averaged 4.5 rebounds per contest and 4 assists per game. His field goal percentage was 45% and his free throw percentage was 85%.

Miami averaged 99.8 points per contest this season which ranked them 23rd in the NBA. Their average scoring margin was 2.1 and their shooting percentage was 47% as a team which had them ranked 4th. Behind the arc they shot 34% which was good for 22nd in the league. They averaged 52.2 rebounds per game and 20.4 assists per game which ranked them 14th and 26th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they ranked 14th with 14 per game. The Heat allowed 97.7 points per game to their opponents which ranked them 3rd in the league. They also allowed a 44% shooting percentage and a 34% average from behind the arc ranking them 6th and 8th in those defensive categories. Opponents averaged 49.1 rebounds a game which ranked 6th and they gave up 19.6 assists per contest which put them in 2nd place in the league. They forced 12.7 turnovers per game which ranked them 27th in the league.

Toronto averaged 101.7 points per game this year which ranked them 18th in the league. Their average scoring margin was 3.9 and their shooting percentage was 45% as a team which had them sitting in the 19th spot in the league. Behind the arc they shot 36% which was good for 6th in the NBA. They averaged 53.1 rebounds per game and 18.5 assists per contest which ranked them 11th and 29th respectively. In the turnover department the Raptors ranked 5th with 13.1 per game. The Raptors allowed 97.8 points per game to their opponents which ranked them 4th in the league. They also allowed a 44% shooting percentage and a 37% average from behind the arc ranking them 11th and 29th in those defensive statistics. Opponents averaged 48.8 rebounds a game which ranked 4th and they gave up 21.1 assists per contest which put them in 7th place in the league. The Raptors forced 13.5 turnovers per game which ranked them 21st in the NBA.

The Heat averaged 96.3 points per game on the road this season and they have scored 95 ppg in their past 3 contests. They had an average scoring differential of -2.1 on the road and in their past 3 games their difference is -0.7 per contest. The Heat had an offensive rating of 106.1 and a defensive rating of 104.4. In terms of pace they averaged 93.6 possessions per 48 minutes and their effective field goal percentage was 51%. As a team they had a true shooting percentage of 55% and they shot 3 pointers on 22% of their shots. Miami turned the ball over an average of 13.3 times per 100 possessions and they forced 12.1 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season was 49%.

The Raptors scored 103.7 ppg at home and they have averaged 95.7 points per contest in their last 3 games. They have an average scoring differential of 0.7 in their past 3 contests and at home this season they had a difference of 5.9 points per game. The Raptors rating on offense was 110 and they had a defensive rating of 105.2. They had 92.9 possessions per 48 minutes and they had an effective field goal percentage of 50%. As a unit they had a true shooting percentage of 55% and they attempted 3 pointers on 29% of their shot attempts. Toronto turned the ball over on 12.3 out of every 100 possessions and their opponents averaged 12.7 turnovers per 100 possessions. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the year was 50%.

Miami Heat Betting Trends

The Miami Heat were 43-38-1 against the spread

The Miami Heat were 34-48-0 against the over/under

Toronto Raptors Betting Trends

The Toronto Raptors were 44-37-1 against the spread

The Toronto Raptors were 43-37-2 against the over/under

Miami Heat Injuries

05/08/16 C Hassan Whiteside Knee out indefinitely
02/17/16 F Chris Bosh Blood Clot out for season

Toronto Raptors Injuries

05/08/16 C Jonas Valanciunas Ankle out indefinitely

Tony's Pick: Take Toronto

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