Saturday, March 12, 2016

Air Canada Centre

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The Miami Heat travel to Air Canada Centre to play the Toronto Raptors on Saturday, March 12, 2016. The opening line for this game has Toronto as 6 point favorites and the over/under has been set at 199.

The Heat come into this game with an overall record of 37-27 and a road record of 16-15. They are 1st in the Southeast Division. They currently have a point differential of 0.9 as they are averaging 98.1 points per game while giving up 97.2 per contest. Miami is 8-4 against division opponents and they have a conference record of 23-17. They are 7-3 in their last 10 games. The Raptors have an overall record of 43-20 and a home record of 25-7. They currently are 1st in the Atlantic Division. They are averaging 102.7 points per game and surrendering 98.3, good for a point differential of 4.4. Toronto has a division record of 10-1 and a conference record of 28-10. In their last 10 games they are 8-2.

Dwyane Wade comes into this contest averaging 19.3 points per game while playing 30.6 minutes per night so far this season for the Heat. He pulls down 4.1 rebounds per game and dishes out 4.8 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 45% while his free throw percentage is currently at 78%. Goran Dragic averages 13.4 points per game in 32.8 minutes per contest this season. He averages 5.6 assists per contest and 3.7 rebounds per game for Miami. His field goal percentage is 47% for the year while his free throw percentage is 71%.

DeMar DeRozan averages 23.6 points per game while playing 36 minutes per contest this year for the Raptors. He grabs 4.3 rebounds per game and has 3.9 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 45% and his free throw percentage currently is at 84%. Kyle Lowry averages 21.6 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 37.1 minutes per contest. He also averages 4.8 rebounds per contest and 6.5 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 44% and his free throw percentage is 83%.

Miami averages 98.1 points per contest this season which ranks them 26th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 0.9 and their shooting percentage is 46% as a team which has them ranked 5th. Behind the arc they shoot 33% which is good for 29th in the league. They average 52.3 rebounds per game and 20.5 assists per game which ranks them 13th and 24th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 15th with 14.3 per game. The Heat allow 97.2 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 2nd in the league. They also allow a 44% shooting percentage and a 34% average from behind the arc ranking them 7th and 10th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 49.4 rebounds a game which ranks 6th and they give up 20.4 assists per contest which puts them in 2nd place in the league. They force 12.7 turnovers per game which ranks them 27th in the league.

Toronto averages 102.7 points per game this year which ranks them 11th in the league. Their average scoring margin is 4.4 and their shooting percentage is 45% as a team which has them sitting in the 13th spot in the league. Behind the arc they shoot 37% which is good for 4th in the NBA. They average 52.2 rebounds per game and 18.6 assists per contest which ranks them 14th and 29th respectively. In the turnover department the Raptors rank 8th with 13.3 per game. The Raptors allow 98.3 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 5th in the league. They also allow a 45% shooting percentage and a 38% average from behind the arc ranking them 13th and 28th in those defensive statistics. Opponents average 48.4 rebounds a game which ranks 2nd and they give up 21.7 assists per contest which puts them in 12th place in the league. The Raptors force 13.8 turnovers per game which ranks them 22nd in the NBA.

The Heat average 95.1 points per game on the road this season and they have scored 107.7 ppg in their past 3 contests. They have an average scoring differential of -2.2 on the road and in their past 3 games their difference is 3 per contest. The Heat have an offensive rating of 104.3 and a defensive rating of 103.3. In terms of pace they average 93.5 possessions per 48 minutes and their effective field goal percentage is 50%. As a team they have a true shooting percentage of 54% and they shoot 3 pointers on 22% of their shots. Miami turns the ball over an average of 13.6 times per 100 possessions and they force 12 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 48%.

The Raptors score 104.4 ppg at home and they have averaged 105 points per contest in their last 3 games. They have an average scoring differential of 2.3 in their past 3 contests and at home this season they have a difference of 6.6 points per game. The Raptors rating on offense is 110 and they have a defensive rating of 105.3. They get 93.1 possessions per 48 minutes and they have an effective field goal percentage of 51%. As a unit they have a true shooting percentage of 55% and they attempt 3 pointers on 29% of their shot attempts. Toronto turns the ball over on 12.6 out of every 100 possessions and their opponents average 13.1 turnovers per 100 possessions. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the year is 50%.

Miami Heat Betting Trends

The Miami Heat are 34-29-1 against the spread

The Miami Heat are 24-40-0 against the over/under

Toronto Raptors Betting Trends

The Toronto Raptors are 33-29-1 against the spread

The Toronto Raptors are 34-27-2 against the over/under

Miami Heat Injuries

02/17/16 F Chris Bosh Blood Clot out indefinitely
02/01/16 G Tyler Johnson Shoulder out indefinitely

Toronto Raptors Injuries

01/06/16 F DeMarre Carroll Knee out indefinitely

Tony's Pick: Take Toronto

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