Monday, April 25, 2016

Time Warner Cable Arena

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The Miami Heat travel to Time Warner Cable Arena to play the Charlotte Hornets on Monday, April 25, 2016. Miami leads the series 2-1. The opening line for this game has Charlotte as 2.5 point favorites and the over/under has been set at 195.

The Heat had a regular season record of 48-34 and a road record of 20-21. They were 1st in the Southeast Division. They had a point differential of 1.6 as they averaged 100 points per game while giving up 98.4 per contest. Miami was 10-6 against division opponents and they had a conference record of 31-21. The Hornets had a regular season record of 48-34 and a home record of 30-11. They were 3rd in the Southeast Division. They averaged 103.4 points per game and surrendered 100.7, good for a point differential of 2.7. Charlotte had a division record of 8-8 and a conference record of 33-19.

Dwyane Wade comes into this contest after averaging 19 points per game while playing 30.5 minutes per night this season for the Heat. He pulled down 4.1 rebounds per game and dished out 4.6 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage was 46% while his free throw percentage was at 79%. Goran Dragic averaged 14.1 points per game in 32.8 minutes per contest this season. He averaged 5.8 assists per contest and 3.8 rebounds per game for Miami. His field goal percentage was 48% for the year while his free throw percentage was 73%.

Kemba Walker averaged 20.9 points per game while playing 35.6 minutes per contest this year for the Hornets. He grabbed 4.4 rebounds per game and had 5.2 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage was 43% and his free throw percentage was at 85%. Al Jefferson averaged 12 points per game this season and he saw the court an average of 23.3 minutes per contest. He also averaged 6.4 rebounds per contest and 1.5 assists per game. His field goal percentage was 49% and his free throw percentage was 65%.

Miami averaged 100.3 points per contest this season which ranked them 23rd in the NBA. Their average scoring margin was 1.9 and their shooting percentage was 47% as a team which had them ranked 4th. Behind the arc they shot 34% which was good for 24th in the league. They averaged 51.9 rebounds per game and 20.8 assists per game which ranked them 15th and 23rd in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they ranked 14th with 14 per game. The Heat allowed 98.3 points per game to their opponents which ranked them 5th in the league. They also allowed a 44% shooting percentage and a 34% average from behind the arc ranking them 8th and 10th in those defensive categories. Opponents averaged 49.2 rebounds a game which ranked 6th and they gave up 19.9 assists per contest which put them in 2nd place in the league. They forced 12.7 turnovers per game which ranked them 27th in the league.

Charlotte averaged 103.2 points per game this year which ranked them 11th in the league. Their average scoring margin was 2.3 and their shooting percentage was 44% as a team which had them sitting in the 26th spot in the league. Behind the arc they shot 36% which was good for 9th in the NBA. They averaged 52 rebounds per game and 21.4 assists per contest which ranked them 14th and 20th respectively. In the turnover department the Hornets ranked 1st with 12.4 per game. The Hornets allowed 100.9 points per game to their opponents which ranked them 9th in the league. They also allowed a 45% shooting percentage and a 35% average from behind the arc ranking them 13th and 14th in those defensive statistics. Opponents averaged 52.3 rebounds a game which ranked 16th and they gave up 23.1 assists per contest which put them in 21st place in the league. The Hornets forced 13.4 turnovers per game which ranked them 22nd in the NBA.

The Heat averaged 96.5 points per game on the road this season and they have scored 106 ppg in their past 3 contests. They had an average scoring differential of -2.4 on the road and in their past 3 games their difference is 9.3 per contest. The Heat had an offensive rating of 106.1 and a defensive rating of 104.4. In terms of pace they averaged 93.6 possessions per 48 minutes and their effective field goal percentage was 51%. As a team they had a true shooting percentage of 55% and they shot 3 pointers on 22% of their shots. Miami turned the ball over an average of 13.3 times per 100 possessions and they forced 12.1 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season was 49%.

The Hornets scored 105.2 ppg at home and they have averaged 96.7 points per contest in their last 3 games. They have an average scoring differential of -9.3 in their past 3 contests and at home this season they had a difference of 6.6 points per game. The Hornets rating on offense was 107.1 and they had a defensive rating of 104.3. They had 95.7 possessions per 48 minutes and they had an effective field goal percentage of 50%. As a unit they had a true shooting percentage of 55% and they attempted 3 pointers on 35% of their shot attempts. Charlotte turned the ball over on 11.7 out of every 100 possessions and their opponents averaged 12.5 turnovers per 100 possessions. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the year was 50%.

Miami Heat Betting Trends

The Miami Heat were 43-38-1 against the spread

The Miami Heat were 34-48-0 against the over/under

Charlotte Hornets Betting Trends

The Charlotte Hornets were 42-38-2 against the spread

The Charlotte Hornets were 40-40-2 against the over/under

Miami Heat Injuries

04/24/16 C Hassan Whiteside Thigh probable Monday vs. Charlotte
02/17/16 F Chris Bosh Blood Clot out indefinitely
02/01/16 G Tyler Johnson Shoulder out indefinitely

Charlotte Hornets Injuries

04/23/16 F Nicolas Batum Ankle out indefinitely
02/16/16 F Michael Kidd-Gilchrist Shoulder out for season

Guy's Pick: Take Miami

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