Saturday, February 27, 2016

TD Garden

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The Miami Heat travel to TD Garden to play the Boston Celtics on Saturday, February 27, 2016. The opening line for this game has Boston as 5 point favorites and the over/under has been set at 208.

The Heat come into this game with an overall record of 32-25 and a road record of 14-13. They are 1st in the Southeast Division. They currently have a point differential of 0.2 as they are averaging 97.1 points per game while giving up 96.9 per contest. Miami is 8-4 against division opponents and they have a conference record of 19-15. They are 6-4 in their last 10 games. The Celtics have an overall record of 34-25 and a home record of 18-10. They currently are 2nd in the Atlantic Division. They are averaging 106.2 points per game and surrendering 102.2, good for a point differential of 4. Boston has a division record of 7-5 and a conference record of 24-16. In their last 10 games they are 7-3.

Dwyane Wade comes into this contest averaging 18.9 points per game while playing 30.5 minutes per night so far this season for the Heat. He pulls down 4 rebounds per game and dishes out 4.7 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 45% while his free throw percentage is currently at 77%. Goran Dragic averages 12.8 points per game in 32.5 minutes per contest this season. He averages 5.4 assists per contest and 3.5 rebounds per game for Miami. His field goal percentage is 47% for the year while his free throw percentage is 70%.

Isaiah Thomas averages 21.6 points per game while playing 32.5 minutes per contest this year for the Celtics. He grabs 2.9 rebounds per game and has 6.8 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 42% and his free throw percentage currently is at 89%. Avery Bradley averages 15.3 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 33.3 minutes per contest. He also averages 2.7 rebounds per contest and 2.1 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 45% and his free throw percentage is 79%.

Miami averages 97.1 points per contest this season which ranks them 28th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 0.2 and their shooting percentage is 46% as a team which has them ranked 7th. Behind the arc they shoot 32% which is good for 30th in the league. They average 51.5 rebounds per game and 20.3 assists per game which ranks them 18th and 26th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 13th with 14.1 per game. The Heat allow 96.9 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 2nd in the league. They also allow a 44% shooting percentage and a 34% average from behind the arc ranking them 6th and 7th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 49.8 rebounds a game which ranks 6th and they give up 20.5 assists per contest which puts them in 2nd place in the league. They force 12.9 turnovers per game which ranks them 27th in the league.

Boston averages 106.2 points per game this year which ranks them 4th in the league. Their average scoring margin is 4 and their shooting percentage is 44% as a team which has them sitting in the 21st spot in the league. Behind the arc they shoot 34% which is good for 27th in the NBA. They average 53.2 rebounds per game and 24.8 assists per contest which ranks them 9th and 5th respectively. In the turnover department the Celtics rank 15th with 14.2 per game. The Celtics allow 102.2 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 15th in the league. They also allow a 44% shooting percentage and a 33% average from behind the arc ranking them 5th and 3rd in those defensive statistics. Opponents average 55.6 rebounds a game which ranks 30th and they give up 20.6 assists per contest which puts them in 3rd place in the league. The Celtics force 16.9 turnovers per game which ranks them 1st in the NBA.

The Heat average 94.1 points per game on the road this season and they have scored 109 ppg in their past 3 contests. They have an average scoring differential of -2.9 on the road and in their past 3 games their difference is 7.3 per contest. The Heat have an offensive rating of 103.5 and a defensive rating of 103.3. In terms of pace they average 93.1 possessions per 48 minutes and their effective field goal percentage is 50%. As a team they have a true shooting percentage of 54% and they shoot 3 pointers on 23% of their shots. Miami turns the ball over an average of 13.5 times per 100 possessions and they force 12.2 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 48%.

The Celtics score 106.4 ppg at home and they have averaged 118.3 points per contest in their last 3 games. They have an average scoring differential of 7.7 in their past 3 contests and at home this season they have a difference of 5.4 points per game. The Celtics rating on offense is 106.7 and they have a defensive rating of 102.7. They get 98.8 possessions per 48 minutes and they have an effective field goal percentage of 49%. As a unit they have a true shooting percentage of 53% and they attempt 3 pointers on 30% of their shot attempts. Boston turns the ball over on 12.5 out of every 100 possessions and their opponents average 14.9 turnovers per 100 possessions. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the year is 48%.

Miami Heat Betting Trends

The Miami Heat are 30-26-1 against the spread

The Miami Heat are 21-36-0 against the over/under

Boston Celtics Betting Trends

The Boston Celtics are 32-26-1 against the spread

The Boston Celtics are 31-27-1 against the over/under

Miami Heat Injuries

02/24/16 G Beno Udrih Foot out for season
02/17/16 F Chris Bosh Blood Clot out indefinitely
02/01/16 G Tyler Johnson Shoulder out indefinitely

Boston Celtics Injuries

02/18/16 C Kelly Olynyk Shoulder out indefinitely

Josh's Pick: Take Miami

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