Tuesday, June 16, 2015

NBA Finals - Game 6

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The Golden State Warriors take on the Cleveland Cavaliers on Tuesday in Game 6 of the NBA Finals. The Warriors took control of the series on Sunday and are up 3-2. The opening line has the Warriors as 4.5 point favorites and the over/under is set at 195.

The Golden State Warriors are one win away from hoisting up the championship trophy by way of a 104-91 win on Sunday night. In Game 5, they were facing the "best player in the world" in LeBron James who was averaging 35.8 points per game, 12 rebounds per game and 8.3 assists per game in these NBA Finals. However, Stephen Curry and the Warriors weren't about to let this game slip out of their grips.

The first quarter started off as a back and fourth affair. James came out with a bit of a bounce in his step and seemed fresh coming off a two day break. Golden State was able to keep it tight and the first quarter ended 22-22. The second quarter continued to be a nail biter and ended with the score being 51-50 in favor of Golden State. James finished the half with 20 points, eight rebounds and eight assists.

Golden State started to open up the lead a bit in the third quarter by outscoring the Cavs 22-17 going into the fourth quarter. However, the game stayed tight throughout most of the fourth quarter and James and the Cavaliers took a one point lead with just over seven minutes left in the game. That would be the last time the Cavs had a lead in this one as Steph Curry took the game over and played like the MVP he is. Curry ended this game with 37 points, seven rebounds, four assists and two steals. He also went 7 for 13 from behind the arc and went 4 for 4 from the free throw line.

Cleveland will be in desperation mode when the Warriors visit them on Tuesday night and they'll need to get more help from the other player on this team. James can't play much better than he is and if he doesn't get that help, they'll be waiting another year to get that elusive first championship trophy.

James ended the night with 40 points, 14 rebounds, 11 assists and a steal in what was his 6th career triple double in the NBA Finals which counts as 2nd most all time.

The Warriors are 7-2 against the spread in their last 9 vs. the Eastern Conference and 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. They are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Tuesday games. The under is 3-0-1 in the Warriors last 4 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record and 8-1-2 in their last 11 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.

The Cavaliers are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 vs. the Western Conference and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. They are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Tuesday games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS loss. The under is 3-0-1 in the Cavaliers last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and 3-0-1 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.

Head to head, the under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings and the favorite is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. The home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings but the Warriors are 12-5 ATS in the last 17 meetings.

Golden State Warriors Betting Trends

Golden State Warriors are 56-42-4 Against the Spread

Golden State Warriors are 43-57-0 against the Over/Under

Cleveland Cavaliers Betting Trends

Cleveland Cavaliers are 49-52-0 Against the Spread

Cleveland Cavaliers are 41-58-0 against the Over/Under

Injuries to Watch

Golden State Warriors

06/15/15 G Stephen Curry Dehydration probable Tuesday vs. Cleveland
05/03/15 C Ognjen Kuzmic Ankle out indefinitely

Cleveland Cavaliers

12/24/14 C Anderson Varejao Achilles out for season
06/05/15 G Kyrie Irving Knee out for season
04/27/15 F Kevin Love Shoulder out for season

Josh's Pick: Take Golden State

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