Sunday, June 14th, 2015

NBA Finals - Game 5

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

The Golden State Warriors take on the Cleveland Cavaliers on Sunday in Game 5 of the NBA Finals. The series is tied 2-2. The opening line had the Warriors as 8.5 point favorites and the over/under is set at 195.5.

Golden State dominated Game 4 103-82 after a Steve Kerr lineup adjustment. He started a small lineup with Andre Iguodala inserted for Andrew Bogut. Iguodala responded with 22 points and 8 rebounds and played stellar defense on Lebron James the entire game. "He looks great out there," Kerr said of Iguodala. "He's been our best player through four games." Stephen Curry added 22 points and 6 assists on 8 of 17 from the floor. Draymond Green played an outstanding all around game for the Warriors, finishing with 17 points, 7 rebounds, and 6 assists. Golden State started off the game down 7-0 quickly. They then got more comfortable with the new lineup and went on a 31-17 run to end the quarter up 31-24. Although Cleveland made a run in the 3rd quarter to get within 3, the Warriors ended up stretching the lead back to 20 early in the 4th quarter and the game was never in doubt from that point on.

Lebron James finished with 20 points, 12 rebounds, and 8 assists for the Cavs, who seemed undermanned most of the game. Center Timofey Mozgov scored 28 points and grabbed 10 rebounds but struggled defensively with the Warriors' perimeter-oriented attack. "At the end of the day, you're going to want Mozgov to beat you," Green said. "You're going to take the chance on Mozgov beating you before you take the chance on LeBron beating you." Guard J.R. Smith missed all eight of his 3-point attempts and is now shooting 29.8 percent (14-for-47) for the series, including 25 percent (7-for-28) on 3-pointers.

The Cavaliers are 5-1 against the spread in their last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game and are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. They are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 2 days rest. Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and are 15-4 ATS in their last 19 vs. the Western Conference. The Cavaliers are also 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following an ATS loss and are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 vs. the Pacific Division. The under is 6-1 in the Cavaliers last 7 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record and is 5-1 in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home. The under is also 5-1 in their last 6 road games and is 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

The Warriors are 20-5-1 ATS in their last 26 games playing on 2 days rest and are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. the Eastern Conference. They are 17-7-1 ATS in their last 25 home games vs. a team with a winning road record and are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Golden State is 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games and are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs. the Central Division. The Warriors are also 1-4 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game and are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 Sunday games. The under is 6-0 in the Warriors last 6 Sunday games and is 8-1-1 in their last 10 home games. The under is also 8-1 in their last 9 vs. the Central Division and is 8-1-1 in their last 10 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.

In head to head matchups, the under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. The Cavaliers are 5-11 ATS in the last 16 meetings and are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Golden State.

Cleveland Cavaliers Betting Trends

Cleveland Cavaliers are 49-51-0 Against the Spread

Cleveland Cavaliers are 41-58-0 against the Over/Under

Golden State Warriors Betting Trends

Golden State Warriors are 55-42-4 Against the Spread

Golden State Warriors are 43-57-0 against the Over/Under

Injuries to Watch

Cleveland Cavaliers

12/24/14 C Anderson Varejao Achilles out for season
06/12/15 F LeBron James Head probable Sunday vs. Golden State
06/05/15 G Kyrie Irving Knee out for season
04/27/15 F Kevin Love Shoulder out for season

Golden State Warriors

05/03/15 C Ognjen Kuzmic Ankle out indefinitely

Tony's Pick: Take Golden State

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