Sunday, May 24, 2015

Eastern Conference Finals - Game 3

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The Cleveland Cavaliers take on the Atlanta Hawks on Sunday in Game 3 of the Eastern Conference Finals. Cleveland leads the series 2-0. The opening line had Cleveland as 8 point favorites and the over/under is set at 191.

Atlanta is in a huge hole and will be without Kyle Korver for the rest of the Playoffs. Losing the 1st 2 games at home including getting dismantled in Game 2, the Hawks are going to have to limit Lebron James on one end and find their 3 point shooting touch on the other end. The Hawks will need Paul Millsap to step up, as he's only averaging 8.5 points this series on 5 for 19 shooting. You'll also want to look out for Al Horford and DeMarre Carroll, as both are hobbling coming into Game 3 for the Hawks.

Cleveland is in the driver's seat as big favorites at home after stealing the first 2 games on the road. Lebron James has been spectacular so far, averaging over 30 points in the series including a 30 point, 11 assist, 9 rebound effort in Game 2. Tristan Thompson has continued his excellent work on the boards, including pulling down 16 in Game 2. One injury to watch for the Cavs in Game 3 is Kyrie Irving once again. He's a game time decision and may end up sitting since the Cavs are in control to this point.

Head-to-head, the over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Cleveland and is 11-5 in the last 16 meetings. The Hawks are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Cleveland and the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

Cleveland Cavaliers Betting Trends

Cleveland Cavaliers are 46-48-0 Against the Spread

Cleveland Cavaliers are 38-55-0 against the Over/Under

Atlanta Hawks Betting Trends

Atlanta Hawks are 54-39-3 Against the Spread

Atlanta Hawks are 47-48-0 against the Over/Under

Injuries to Watch

Cleveland Cavaliers

12/24/14 C Anderson Varejao Achilles out for season
05/22/15 G Kyrie Irving Knee Questionable Sunday vs. Atlanta
04/27/15 F Kevin Love Shoulder out for season

Atlanta Hawks

05/22/15 F DeMarre Carroll Knee Questionable Sunday vs. Cleveland
05/22/15 C Al Horford Knee injured last game, Questionable Sunday vs. Cleveland
04/10/15 G Thabo Sefolosha Fibula out for season

Guy's Pick: Take Cleveland

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