Wednesday, March 19, 6:30 PM on SUN, CSNE

TD Garden, Boston, Massachusetts

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

No team is going to catch Milwaukee or Philadelphia in the chase for the league's worst record even though Boston hasn't been playing the best basketball lately. Miami will be picking and choosing their spots to rest up veteran players for the playoffs on the second half of a back to back game. Wednesday night's game marks the 3rd in 4 nights for both Miami and Boston. It's hard to predict how teams will respond in matchups like this – the tired legs either lead to flat shots and lackadaisical offense or they may not play much defense.

The last three times Boston played a 3 in 4 situation, the final game results were an 87-80 loss to Phoenix, a 110-98 loss to Utah, and a 95-94 loss to Philadelphia. Similarly Miami has posted an 111-87 loss to San Antonio, a 107-88 win against New Orleans and a 97-94 win in Denver, suggesting this could be a low scoring game.

As far as who needs the victory more, that answer is definitely the Heat. Even though this team is built for the playoffs there may be some internal doubt that needs to be put to rest after a recent stretch in which Miami lost 5 of 6 games. Under bets won in 5 of those games and the Heat offense only broke 100 twice, with both coming in losing efforts. Miami was able to get the win although Boston covered in their most recent matchup, a low scoring 93-86 Heat win.

ATS Trends

Miami is 16-15-1 ATS on the road this season

Miami is 16-15-1 against the over/under on the road this season

Boston is 15-20-0 ATS at home this season

Boston is 15-20-0 against the over/under at home this season

Injuries to Watch

Miami 

No injuries to report

Boston 

03/16/14 G Rajon Rondo Rest Questionable
02/28/14 F Gerald Wallace Knee out for season
02/20/14 C Vitor Faverani Knee out indefinitely
01/14/14 G Keith Bogans Personal out indefinitely

Tony's Pick: Take Miami

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