Denver Nuggets at Dallas Mavericks Free NBA Picks & Odds
by Guy Bruhn - 3/20/2014
Friday, March 21, 7:30 PM on AL2, FSSW
American Airlines Center, Dallas, Texas
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The Mavericks have used a 22-10 record at home to overtake the 7th playoff spot in the Western Conference and will look to build on that during an 8 game home stand as the season winds down. The Nuggets find themselves on the road once again even after completing a 5 game trip only a week ago.
Dallas has been up and down recently but has all but secured their spot in the postseason. The Mavs have gone 6-4 straight up and against the spreads in their last 10 but went 4-1 SU during that time. Offensive balance has been the key during a recent 3 game win streak in which 5 players notched double figures in each game spotlighted by Vince Carter's 18 in a win over OKC.
The Nuggets have flip-flopped their last 10 going 5-5 over that span. They've actually covered the number in 4 straight games including 2 SU wins over Miami and the Clippers. Still the season is a disappointment with right around 30 wins, which most experts call 'basketball purgatory' – not good enough for a playoff shot but not bad enough for a high lottery probability.
It was a high scoring affair the last time the two met up as the high 220.5 still went over in a 115-110 Denver home win. Six Nugget players scored in double figures to overcome 27 Dirk Nowitzki points and win the game outright even as 5 point home underdogs. There's not much Dallas could've done better in that first matchup as they shot almost 53% from the field and had an equal number of turnovers but a 36 to 9 free throw disparage was too much to overcome.
ATS Trends
Denver is 17-16-1 ATS on the road this season
Denver is 18-16-0 against the over/under on the road this season
Dallas is 15-17-0 ATS at home this season
Dallas is 17-15-0 against the over/under at home this season
Injuries to Watch
Denver
11/10/13 C JaVale McGee Tibia out indefinitely
03/19/14 G Ty Lawson Sinus questionable
03/19/14 F Wilson Chandler Hip questionable
01/31/14 G Nate Robinson Knee out for season
01/22/14 F Danilo Gallinari Knee out for season
Dallas
No injuries to report at this time
Guy's Pick: Take Dallas
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