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Cook Out 400 Picks, Odds & Predictions 8/11/2024

by Josh Schonwald - 8/9/2024

Cook Out 400

Sunday, August 11, 2024

6:00 PM EST

Richmond Raceway

Richmond, VA

As the playoff hunt intensifies, NASCAR heads to Richmond, VA to race the Cook Out 400 at Richmond Raceway. The Olympic break was nice for everyone, but I'm sure speak for all of us when I say it's time to get back to racing. As we approach the final leg of the Chase for the Cup playoffs, we are upon the 23rd race of the season and it's going to be an exciting one. During the era of the Chase, this track used to be where the regular season ended, however, a few seasons ago NASCAR decided shake things up and put this race into the 10 races for the Chase playoff. It was in 2022 that NASCAR moved this race into a spot that has more of an impact on deciding who makes the cut. Instead of determining points in the playoffs, this race has a different sort of impact in which drivers will jockey for position while trying to make the playoff field. As we saw prior to the break for the Olympics, drivers are starting to take more risks than they would normally as we're starting to wind down to the end of the regular season. It will be harder racing, more contact and bigger risks when we had back to Richmond and it's small oval.

nascar picks Denny Hamlin predictions best bet odds

Because this is a short track, there will be a group of drivers that have performed well on this kind of track, and we can look back to see who these drivers are. There are some drivers who have performed well over the last 40 races with average finishes inside the top 10 and these include, Denny Hamlin, Kyle Busch, Joey Logano, Christopher Bell and Josh Berry to name a few. Both Hamlin and Busch have driver ratings over 100 here.


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Brickyard 400 Recap

Kyle Larson is the man who took the checkered flag at the Indianapolis Motor Speedway on July 21. It's his fourth win of the season and the 27th of his illustrious career in the Cup Series. By making use of some well-timed strategies towards the end, Larson was able to move from outside the top 20 to the front of the pack as other drivers were cautious not to run out of gas. Rounding out the top 5 in this race include Tyler Reddick, Ryan Blaney, Christopher Bell and Bubba Wallace.

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NASCAR Playoff Standings

As we sit, Kyle Larson is still in the lead with 4 wins and 749 points. In the second spot is Denny Hamlin with 706 points, William Byron with 654 and Christopher Bell having 651. All three of the drivers listed have three wins on the season. Ryan Blaney is in the fifth spot with 676 points and 2 wins. There are still four spots available to a first time winner on the season and this is why the race this weekend is so important.

Cook Out 400 Odds

Christopher Bell - +450
Martin Truex, Jr. - +500
Denny Hamlin - +500
Kyle Larson - +600
Joey Logano - +1000
Ryan Blaney - +1100
Chase Elliott - +1200
William Byron - +1400
Brad Keselowski - +1600
Chris Buescher - +1600
Tyler Reddick - +1800
Ty Gibbs - +2000
Josh Berry - +2500
Alex Bowman - +2800
Ross Chastain - +2800
Kyle Busch - +3000
Bubba Wallace - +3300
Austin Cindric - +10000
Todd Gilliand - +10000
Austin Dillon - +10000
Michael McDowell - +12500
Chase Briscoe - +12500
Daniel Suarez - +12500
Noah Gragson - +15000
Justin Haley - +15000
Ricky Stenhouse, Jr. - +15000
Erik Jones - +20000
Ryan Preece - +20000
Carson Hocevar - +20000
John Hunter Nemechek - +20000
Corey Lajoie - +40000
Zane Smith - +50000
Harrison Burton - +75000
Riley Herbst - +75000
Ty Dillon - +100000
Parker Retzlaff - +100000
Daniel Hemric - +150000

While Denny Hamlin had a rough go before the break, he has performed historically well on short tracks and all of his wins this season have been on short tracks. He has five wins here and 19 top 5 finishes. He should be in the mix when all is said and done on Sunday.

Josh's Pick: Take Denny Hamlin (+500)

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