Pennzoil 400 Picks, Odds & Predictions 3/7/2021

by Guy Bruhn - 3/4/2021

Race: Pennzoil 400 presented by Jiffy Lube

Date: Sunday, March 7, 2021 at 3:30 PM EST

Location: Las Vegas Motor Speedway

TV: FOX

NASCAR heads to Las Vegas this weekend for the Pennzoil 400 Presented by Jiffy Lube. Will we see another surprise win? It's a possibility as we've had three so far. The Dixie Vodka 400 winner, William Byron, might have been one of the most surprising out of the them given the fact this was a 1.5 mile oval that is generally won by the more experienced drivers.

We would suspect the Pennzoil 400 presented by Jiffy Lube will be similar in that we do not expect a big surprise. That said, anything can happen as proven by the previous races of the season. The reason this race will be more difficult to win for some of the underdogs is that this track in Las Vegas is an intermediate tri-oval track where the previous winners have generally been drivers for top teams, and are considered more "elite".

We don't know why this season has been the way it is. It could be the lack of practice at these tracks that is leading to more upsets. One thing we do know is that it will be another action packed weekend for the NASCAR Cup Series.

Dixie Vodka 400 Results

This race started off in a strange fashion as Denny Hamlin was sent to the back of the field before the race after being penalized for an unapproved adjustment. This meant that his teammate, Christopher Bell, would take his spot in the front row. Joey Logano would take the pole position in this race, but would lose the lead to Brad Keselowski. Keselowski would then go back and forth with Chris Buescher for the lead, with Buescher taking the first stage.

Coming out of pit road, Chase Elliott took the lead to start the second stage, but wasn't able to hold onto that for long as Chris Buescher came back to grab the lead. He held the lead until just after the green flag pitstops where Martin Truex Jr. grabbed the lead. After Corey LaJoie's car went down, it was a mad dash for the stage and William Byron ended up edging out Hamlin and Truex for the honor.

Byron led the field back to the green for the final stage of the race and never looked back. He lost the lead for a short stint after a caution flag came out for debris, but ended up taking the lead back and winning the race.

2020 Cup Series Standings Update

The win for William Byron propelled him to the 13th spot with 76 points on the season. He still has some work to do, but is looking good. He also has the second most laps led with 102, which is only 1 back from points leader Denny Hamlin. The top 5 in points are Denny Hamlin (139), Kevin Harvick (119), Joey Logano (108), Michael McDowell (106) and Chase Elliott with 105 points.

Pennzoil 400 Odds

Kevin Harvick - +600
Martin Truex Jr. - +600
Chase Elliott - +800
Brad Keselowski - +800
Kyle Larson - +800
Joey Logano - +800
Denny Hamlin - +900
Ryan Blaney - +1200
Kyle Busch - +1400
William Byron - +1600
Kurt Busch - +1800
Alex Bowman - +2000
Christopher Bell - +3300
Aric Almirola - +4000
Austin Dillon - +4000
Tyler Reddick - +4000
Matt DiBenedetto - +5000

While Joey Logano looks like a great pick for this race with a solid win history in Las Vegas, he had a rough go last weekend. We like Martin Truex Jr. in this one. While he doesn't have as many top 5 and top 10 finishes as Brad Keselowski or Logano, he is one of the most consistent racers on this track with a top 20 finishing rate of 94.44%.

Guy's Pick: Martin Truex Jr. - (+600)

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Pennzoil 400 Picks, Odds & Predictions 3/7/2021

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