Samsung Lions vs Kiwoom Heroes Prediction, 10/5/2021 KBO Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Samsung Lions vs Kiwoom Heroes
Date: Tuesday, October 5, 2021
Location: Gocheok Sky Dome in Seoul, South Korea
TV: SPOTV2
Odds/Point Spread: Samsung (+212) Kiwoom (-303)
Eric Jokisch and the Kiwoom Heroes (60-59, 5th in KBO) host the Samsung Lions (66-52, 3rd in KBO) at Gocheok Sky Dome on Tuesday. The Lions open this matchup at +212 while the Heroes are priced at -303. The over/under is set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers are David Buchanan and Eric Jokisch.
The Lions have accounted for 180 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 122 balls out of the park. Samsung has a slugging percentage of .407 and have been rung up 791 times, while taking a walk on 477 occasions. As a unit, the Samsung Lions are notching 5.1 runs per game, which has them at 5th in baseball. They have 603 runs batted in in addition to 1,154 hits on the campaign, and their average at the plate sits at .271. They have a total of 643 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .347.
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Min-ho Kang is a batter who can be a difference maker for Samsung. In his career, Kang has hit 288 balls out of the park while knocking in 1,017 runs. Over the course of his time in the league, he stepped into the batters box 7,265 times and has delivered with a base hit 1,754 times. Kang has accumulated a batting average of .277 for his career in baseball, in addition to 817 runs scored and an OPS of .822. His slugging percentage sits at .466 and he has a total of 2,953 bases. He has gone down on strikes 1,345 times and has gotten a free base on 670 occasions, contributing to a .356 on-base %.
The Lions have swiped 55 bases and have been caught 25 times, which tells us their caught stealing percentage sits at 31.3%. The Samsung Lions are sitting with 3,314 putouts on the campaign, as well as 1,164 assists and 80 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .982 which has them sitting 3rd in KBO and have a total of 114 double plays.
The Lions have a team earned run average of 4.37 over the course of the season (5th in KBO), and the staff has struck out 903 batters. Samsung has conceded 1,147 base hits (9.3 per 9 innings) and 537 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.89 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.47. Lions pitchers have yielded 116 home runs in addition to 588 runs in total (7th in the league).
Buchanan (109-102 win-loss record in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.40 while facing 7,431 opposing batters in baseball. He has surrendered 1,818 hits (9.4 hits per nine innings) and has had 539 walks. His earned run average is 3.97 (767 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.356. Buchanan has thrown 1,738 innings and has accounted for 1,122 punch outs so far in his pro career.
The Heroes have a team slugging % of .374 and they are recording 4.99 runs per game (7th in KBO). They have put up 214 doubles, while getting a free base 534 times as well as racking up 624 runs. Kiwoom has 80 home runs on the season in addition to 583 runs batted in. They have struck out on 910 occasions (2nd in baseball) and have a total of 1,080 hits. The Kiwoom Heroes have recorded an on-base percentage of .347 as well as a team batting average of .256 on the campaign.
Hye-seong Kim is a hitter who should be able to impact this game for Kiwoom. Kim has tallied a free base 164 times while being called out on strikes on 389 tries. His on-base rate is .343 and he also has a lifetime OPS of .717. Over the course of the 1,777 at-bats in his pro career, Kim has accumulated a batting average of .282 with 502 base knocks. He has accrued 301 runs and racked up 199 runs batted in. He has gone yard 15 times, with 665 total bases and also a .374 slugging percentage.
In their 105 tries at stealing a base, they got to the bag before the ball 76 times and been caught 29 times (27.6% caught stealing percentage). The Kiwoom Heroes have twisted 140 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .976 (10th in the league). The Heroes have accrued 1,340 assists, 112 errors and have amassed 3,304 putouts this year.
The Kiwoom pitching staff have given up 612 runs on the year and come in with a team ERA of 4.30 (526 earned runs surrendered). They have allowed 93 dingers and they surrender 5.00 runs per 9 innings (5th in the league). The Heroes have a team WHIP of 1.478 and are the owners of a FIP of 5.00 as a staff this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 1.60 (798 strikeouts vs 498 walks). They have a ranking of 4th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,129.
Jokisch (102-84 career win-loss record) has a 3.38 ERA and has conceded 8.8 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.77 and he has gone up against 6,645 hitters in his career. He has allowed 596 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.255 and having a FIP of 4.0. In his pro career, Jokisch has allowed 1,551 base knocks while he has tallied 1,229 strikeouts in 1,588 innings.
So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?
Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Kiwoom (-303) and under the total runs
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