Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs New Mexico State Aggies Prediction, 11/9/2024 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs New Mexico State Aggies

Date: Saturday, November 9, 2024

Location: Aggie Memorial Stadium in Las Cruces, NM

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Aggies (+18.0)

Total/Over-Under: 52

Aggie Memorial Stadium is the location where the New Mexico State Aggies (2-6) will go up against the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (6-2) on Saturday, November 9, 2024. New Mexico State opens this contest as 18.0-point dogs. The total is 52.

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers step onto the field holding a record of 6-2 for this season. In their last game, the Hilltoppers stepped onto the field against the Kennesaw State Owls and went home with a win by a final score of 31-14. When it came to stopping the run, the Hilltoppers gave up 176 yards on 41 tries, which is an average of 4.3 yards per run allowed. Western Kentucky conceded 13 pass completions on 26 attempts for a total of 97 yds, and a completion percentage of 50.0%. On the day, they tallied 58 plays which converted into 462 yards. The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers ran the football 36 different times and recorded 186 yds, which came out to an average of 5.2 yds per carry.

The Hilltoppers have racked up 3,260 total yards for the year. With reference to notching touchdowns, Western Kentucky has earned 19 touchdowns through the air and 10 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the ball over 11 different times. Western Kentucky has 168 first downs as a unit, and they have been called for 34 infractions for 334 yards. As a team they're averaging 128.8 yards in the run game which is 99th in the country. Concerning putting points on the board, the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers have an average of 29.0 points per contest.

The Hilltoppers rank 37th in Division 1 concerning their opponents scoring, giving up 21.4 PPG. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.3 yards per run and 163.9 yards on the ground per contest on the campaign. Over the course of this season, they have given up 1,311 rushing yards through 8 outings. Concerning passing yards, the Hilltoppers are conceding 1,676 yds which has them ranked 39th in college football. They have relinquished 209.5 yards per outing through the air as well as giving up a completion percentage of 60.7%. Over the course of this year, they are allowing 373.4 yards per outing which puts them 75th in the nation. They have surrendered 12 touchdowns through the air in addition to 11 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Aggies head into this game 2-6 this season. When they last stepped on the field, the Aggies took a defeat with a final score of 34-13 when they played the FIU Panthers. New Mexico State allowed 35 running attempts for 100 yds (2.9 yds per rush). The Aggies passing defense conceded a completion percentage of 66.7%, surrendering 338 yds on 18 for 27 through the air. The Aggies finished the contest with 246 yds and they ran 62 plays (4.0 yds per play). New Mexico State rushed for 5.0 yds per carry, finishing with 216 yards on 43 carries.

The New Mexico State Aggies average 284.9 yards per game, which is good for 130th in the nation. The New Mexico State offense has 437 yds of penalties on 49 violations, which ranks them 85th in D-1 in terms of making mistakes. They hold an average of 169.9 yards per game via the ground game and have run for 1,359 yards in total. They have thrown 9 interceptions while conceding 6 fumbles and they have earned 145 1st downs. When discussing the points being put on the board, the Aggies are ranked 121st in college football averaging 19.6 points per game. For the season to this point, the Aggies have a total of 920 yards through the air along with holding an average of 115.0 throwing yards per game, which has them ranked 132nd in D-1.

New Mexico State has given up a total of 1,727 yards rushing (215.9 yards per game) as well as 22 touchdowns on the ground so far this season. They have conceded 12 touchdowns through the air in addition to 239.0 yards per outing, which puts them in 100th in college football. They have tallied 0 fumbles and 3 interceptions over the course of the season. The Aggies defense has been on the field for 571 plays, which ranks 80th in college football. The Aggies are allowing 36.6 points per game, which has them 127th in the nation. Over the course of the season, they have allowed 293 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Hilltoppers/Aggies college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Aggies +18.0

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