UMass Minutemen vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction, 11/2/2024 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: UMass Minutemen vs Mississippi State Bulldogs

Date: Saturday, November 2, 2024

Location: Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville, MS

TV: SEC NETWORK

Odds/Point Spread: Bulldogs (-18.0)

Total/Over-Under: 59

Davis Wade Stadium is where the Mississippi State Bulldogs (1-7) will compete against the UMass Minutemen (2-6) on Saturday, November 2, 2024. Mississippi State opens this game as 18.0-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under comes in at 59.

The UMass Minutemen head into this game 2-6 for this year. In their last contest, the Minutemen played the Wagner Seahawks and went home with a win by a final score of 35-7. In all, they ran 45 plays which gave them a total of 326 yds. The UMass Minutemen ran the football 27 different times and amassed 197 yds, which earned them an average of 7.3 yards per attempt. Against the run, the Minutemen conceded 162 yards on 50 tries, which calculates to 3.2 yards per run surrendered. UMass conceded 5 completions on 9 attempts for a total of 56 yards, and a completion rate of 55.6%.

In terms of getting in the endzone, the UMass Minutemen hold an average of 19.1 PPG. As a team they are averaging 136.3 yards in the run game which is 91st in the country. The Minutemen have earned 2,641 yards in total for this campaign. With reference to getting in the endzone, UMass has amassed 8 touchdowns via the pass and 9 touchdowns on the ground. UMass has accumulated 149 1st downs as a team, and they have committed 61 infractions for 526 yds. They have surrendered the ball 7 times.

The Minutemen are sitting in 103rd in the country when it comes to the opposition scoring, allowing 30.0 points per contest. They are allowing an average of 4.6 yards per rushing attempt and 170.5 yards on the ground per game for the year. Over the course of this season, they have allowed 1,364 yards via the running game in 8 games. When talking about yards through the air, the Minutemen have given up 1,260 yards which has them ranked 10th in D-1. They have yielded 157.5 yards per outing through the air and conceding a completion percentage of 56.9%. For the season, they are giving up 328.0 yards/contest which ranks them 36th in the country. They have granted 11 touchdowns through the air as well as 17 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Bulldogs come into this matchup with a record of 1-7 for this season. When they last played, the Bulldogs took a loss by a score of 58-25 against the Arkansas Razorbacks. The Bulldogs finished the contest with 471 yds on 73 plays (6.5 yds per play). Mississippi State ran the ball for 3.9 yards per attempt, finishing the contest with 162 yds on 42 attempts. Mississippi State allowed 37 attempts on the ground for 359 yards (9.7 yards per rush). The Bulldogs passing defense allowed a completion percentage of 79.3%, surrendering 314 yards on 23 out of 29 passing.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs are averaging 390.5 yards/game, which is good for 70th in the country. The Mississippi State offense has totaled 490 yards of penalties on 54 violations, which is good for 39th in the nation in terms of making mistakes. They are averaging 131.1 yards per game on the ground and have run for 1,049 yards in total. They have tossed 5 interceptions while allowing opponents to recover 7 fumbles and they have recorded 171 first downs. Concerning their ability to score points, the Bulldogs are ranked 75th in D-1 averaging 27.1 PPG. During this campaign so far, the Bulldogs have compiled 2,075 yards via the pass in addition to an average of 259.4 passing yards per outing, which ranks 42nd in the country.

Mississippi State has allowed a total of 1,706 yards via the ground game (213.3 yards per game) in addition to 17 touchdowns rushing this year. They have allowed 18 touchdowns through the air and 264.4 yards/outing, which puts them in 116th in college football. They have tallied 4 fumbles recovered and 6 picks this season. The Bulldogs defense has taken part in 557 plays, which has them ranked 115th in D-1. The Bulldogs are giving up 36.4 points per game, which has them sitting 125th in D-1. In total, they have surrendered 291 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Minutemen/Bulldogs college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Bulldogs -18.0

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