UCF Knights vs TCU Horned Frogs Prediction, 9/14/2024 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: UCF Knights vs TCU Horned Frogs

Date: Saturday, September 14, 2024

Location: Amon G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth, TX

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Horned Frogs (-1.5)

Total/Over-Under: 61.5

The UCF Knights (2-0) are headed to Amon G. Carter Stadium on Saturday, September 14, 2024 where they will try to beat the TCU Horned Frogs (2-0). TCU opens this contest as 1.5-point favorites. The over/under is set at 61.5.

The UCF Knights come into this matchup with a record of 2-0 for this season. In their last contest, the Knights played against the Sam Houston State Bearkats and notched a win by a score of 45-14. The UCF Knights ran the ball a total of 57 different times and totaled 384 yds, which is an average of 6.7 yds per attempt. For the game, they had 74 plays which gave them 554 yards. UCF conceded 17 completions on 24 tries for 219 yds, and a completion rate of 70.8%. When it came to stopping the run, the Knights conceded 67 yds on 30 tries, which is an average of 2.2 yds per rush surrendered.

When it comes to putting points on the board, the UCF Knights have an average of 51.0 PPG. As a unit they are averaging 419.0 yards in the run game giving them a rank of 1st in college football. The Knights have earned 1,193 total yards this season. With reference to distribution of touchdowns, UCF has compiled 2 touchdowns via the pass and 11 rushing touchdowns. UCF has a total of 56 1st downs offensively, and they have been flagged for 9 infractions for 80 yds. They have surrendered the ball 3 different times.

The Knights are ranked 22nd in the country when it comes to their opponents scoring, giving up 8.5 points per contest. They are allowing an average of 2.3 yards per rush and 67.0 rushing yards per game on the campaign. Over the course of this year, they have given up 134 rushing yards through 2 games. When it comes to passing yardage, the Knights have given up 314 yds which puts them in 46th in D-1. They have surrendered 157.0 yards per outing through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 59.6%. Overall, they are surrendering 224.0 yards per contest putting them 19th in college football. They have conceded 2 touchdowns by air and no touchdowns on the ground.

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The Horned Frogs come into this matchup with a record of 2-0 for this season. For their last game, the Horned Frogs took home the win by a final score of 45-0 against the LIU Sharks. TCU relinquished 34 running attempts for 59 yds (1.7 yds per rush). The Horned Frogs pass defense allowed a completion percentage of 40.9%, relinquishing 68 yards on 9 out of 22 through the air. The Horned Frogs ended up finishing with 425 yds on 67 plays (6.3 yards per play). TCU ran the football for 3.4 yds per carry, finishing the contest with 127 yds on 37 carries.

When discussing how much they score, the Horned Frogs are sitting 34th in college football averaging 39.5 points per game. The TCU Horned Frogs have an average of 441.0 yards per contest, which ranks them 46th in the nation. The TCU offense has compiled 165 penalty yds on 13 violations, which ranks 52nd in the nation in terms of giving up free yards. They have given away no interceptions while allowing opponents to recover 2 fumbles and they have recorded 46 1st downs. For the season to this point, the Horned Frogs have earned 651 yards through the air in addition to holding an average of 325.5 throwing yards per outing, giving them a rank of 16th in Division 1. They hold an average of 115.5 yards per game via the ground game and have run for 231 yards for this season.

The Horned Frogs are relinquishing 13.5 PPG, which has them ranked 41st in Division 1. TCU has allowed a total of 180 yards rushing (90.0 yards per outing) and 1 touchdown via the rush so far this year. This season, they have allowed 27 pts. They have allowed 2 touchdowns through the air and 116.5 yards per outing, which has them sitting 15th in D-1. The Horned Frogs defense has been on the field for 129 plays, which ranks 70th in Division 1. They have no fumbles recovered and 2 picks on the campaign.

Who will win tonight's Knights/Horned Frogs college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Knights +1.5

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