UCF Knights vs Florida Gators Prediction, 10/5/2024 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: UCF Knights vs Florida Gators

Date: Saturday, October 5, 2024

Location: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville, FL

TV: SEC NETWORK

Odds/Point Spread: Gators (+1.0)

Total/Over-Under: 61.5

Ben Hill Griffin Stadium is where the Florida Gators (2-2) will go up against the UCF Knights (3-1) on Saturday, October 5, 2024. UCF opens this matchup as 1.0-point favorites from oddsmakers. The total has been set at 61.5.

The UCF Knights come into this matchup with a record of 3-1 this year. In their last matchup, the Knights played the Colorado Buffaloes and took a loss by a score of 48-21. In the game, they tallied 79 plays which converted into 461 yds. The UCF Knights ended up rushing 44 different times and recorded 177 yards, which had them averaging 4.0 yds per attempt. On the ground, the Knights conceded 128 yards on 29 attempts, which is an average of 4.4 yards per rush surrendered. UCF allowed 28 completions on 35 attempts for a total of 290 yds, and a completion percentage of 80.0%.

The Knights have racked up 2,173 yards in total over the course of this year. In terms of getting in the endzone, UCF has compiled 7 touchdowns via the pass and 14 touchdowns on the ground. They have surrendered the ball 7 different times. UCF has accounted for 110 first downs as an offense, and they have committed 21 penalties for 205 yds. As a unit they average 326.0 yards rushing giving them a rank of 2nd in college football. Concerning scoring points, the UCF Knights hold an average of 39.5 PPG.

The Knights rank 78th in D-1 regarding team defense, giving up 24.8 PPG. They are allowing 3.0 yards per rushing attempt and 80.0 rushing yards per game on the campaign. Overall, they have conceded 320 yards via the ground game in 4 games. Concerning yards through the air, the Knights have conceded 1,006 yards which puts them in 76th in D-1. They have allowed 251.5 yards per outing through the air and giving up a completion percentage of 67.1%. For the year, they are giving up 331.5 yards/game putting them at 53rd in Division 1. They have given up 9 touchdowns through the air as well as 2 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Gators head into this matchup 2-2 this season. When they last stepped on the gridiron, the Gators walked away with a victory by a final of 45-28 when they played the Mississippi State Bulldogs. Florida surrendered 56 running attempts for 240 yds (4.3 yds per rush). The Gators passing defense gave up a completion rate of 58.8%, relinquishing 240 yds on 20 for 34 through the air. The Gators finished the contest with a total of 503 yards while they ran 64 plays (7.9 yards per play). Florida ran the ball for 6.3 yards per attempt, totaling 226 yds on 36 carries.

The Florida Gators hold an average of 424.3 yards/contest, which is good for 50th in the country. The Florida offense has 221 penalty yards on 22 infractions, which ranks 104th in college football in terms of hurting your team. They hold an average of 145.8 yards per game on the ground and have run for 583 yards for this season. They have thrown 5 interceptions while surrendering 2 fumbles and they have earned 85 1st downs. In terms of their ability to score points, the Gators currently sit 55th in college football holding an average of 31.8 points per contest. For the year to this point, the Gators have thrown for a total of 1,114 yards via the pass in addition to an average of 278.5 passing yards per outing, putting them at 30th in the nation.

Florida has allowed a total of 755 yards rushing (188.8 yards per game) as well as 7 touchdowns via the rush this year. They have allowed 6 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 236.8 yards per game, which has them sitting 97th in Division 1. They have 2 fumbles and 1 pick so far this season. The Gators defense has been on the field for 299 plays, which ranks 69th in the nation. The Gators are surrendering 27.3 points per contest, which has them 92nd in Division 1. In total, they have conceded 109 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Knights/Gators college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Gators +1.0

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