Toledo Rockets vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Prediction, 9/21/2024 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toledo Rockets vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Date: Saturday, September 21, 2024

Location: Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium in Bowling Green, KY

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Hilltoppers (+1.0)

Total/Over-Under: 59

The Toledo Rockets (3-0) are hitting the road to Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium on Saturday, September 21, 2024 where they will attempt to defeat the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (2-1). Toledo is 1.0-point favorites. The total is set at 59.

The Toledo Rockets step onto the field holding a record of 3-0 this season. In their last matchup, the Rockets stepped onto the field against the Mississippi State Bulldogs and earned the victory with a final of 41-17. When it came to stopping the run, the Rockets gave up 66 yards on 27 attempts, which averages out to 2.4 yds per rush surrendered. Toledo gave up 28 completions on 40 tries for a total of 319 yards, and a completion percentage of 70.0%. When the final whistle blew, they had 73 plays which totaled 454 yds. The Toledo Rockets ended up running the ball 45 different times and accumulated 169 yds, which came out to an average of 3.8 yards per carry.

The Rockets currently have 1,158 total yards for the year. When it comes to scoring, Toledo has earned 10 touchdowns via the pass and 6 touchdowns via the ground. They have surrendered the football 1 time. Toledo has 65 first downs offensively, and they have been flagged for 20 infractions for 155 yds. As a team they maintain an average of 139.7 yards on the ground which has them sitting 91st in Division 1. Concerning putting points on the board, the Toledo Rockets hold an average of 42.7 PPG.

The Rockets are ranked 46th in the country in terms of the opposition scoring, giving up 16.7 PPG. Opposing teams are running for an average of 3.0 yards per rushing attempt and 104.7 yards on the ground per game for the year. In total, they have allowed 314 yards via the ground game in 3 games. Regarding yards via the pass, the Rockets are allowing 739 yds which puts them in 104th in Division 1. They have conceded 246.3 yards per contest via the pass and conceding a completion percentage of 65.3%. For the season, they are allowing 351.0 yards per contest which ranks them 79th in the country. They have surrendered 4 touchdowns via the pass and 1 touchdown on the ground.

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The Hilltoppers head into this matchup 2-1 this season. When they last stepped on the field, the Hilltoppers got the win with a final of 49-21 when they played the MTSU Blue Raiders. The Hilltoppers finished with a total of 631 yards while they ran 72 plays (8.8 yards per play). Western Kentucky rushed the football for 4.3 yards per carry, totaling 150 yards on 35 carries. Western Kentucky relinquished 23 rushing attempts for 58 yards (2.5 yds per rush). The Hilltoppers pass defense conceded a completion rate of 77.4%, surrendering 456 yds on 24 for 31 through the air.

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers are averaging 414.3 yards per game, ranking them 57th in college football. The Western Kentucky offense has totaled 93 yds of penalties on 10 violations, ranking them 122nd in Division 1 in terms of helping out the opposition. They maintain an average of 102.7 yards per game on the ground and have rushed for 308 yards for the year. They have tossed 2 picks while letting opponents recover 1 fumbles and they have been able to record 65 first downs. Concerning their ability to score points, the Hilltoppers currently rank 86th in Division 1 holding an average of 26.7 PPG. For the season so far, the Hilltoppers currently have a total of 935 yards via the pass not to mention an average of 311.7 throwing yards per outing, which has them sitting 18th in the country.

The Hilltoppers are surrendering 28.0 points per game, which puts them 99th in college football. Western Kentucky has given up a total of 582 rushing yards (194.0 yards per outing) in addition to 6 touchdowns rushing this season. Over the course of the season, they have conceded 84 points in total. They have allowed 6 touchdowns through the air in addition to 266.0 yards/game, which has them in 110th in D-1. The Hilltoppers defense has taken the field for 179 plays, which ranks 41st in D-1. Their defense has compiled 2 fumbles and 1 pick on the campaign.

Who will win tonight's Rockets/Hilltoppers college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Rockets -1.0

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