TCU Horned Frogs vs SMU Mustangs Prediction, 9/21/2024 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: TCU Horned Frogs vs SMU Mustangs

Date: Saturday, September 21, 2024

Location: Gerald J. Ford Stadium in Dallas, TX

TV: The CW Network

Odds/Point Spread: Mustangs (+2.5)

Total/Over-Under: 57.5

Gerald J. Ford Stadium is the site where the SMU Mustangs (2-1) will play the TCU Horned Frogs (2-1) on Saturday, September 21, 2024. TCU opens as 2.5-point favorites. The over/under is set at 57.5.

The TCU Horned Frogs head into this matchup 2-1 for this year. In their last contest, the Horned Frogs played the UCF Knights and took a loss by a final of 35-34. In all, they ran 70 plays which gave them 460 yds. The TCU Horned Frogs ended up rushing 17 times and compiled 58 yds, which earned them an average of 3.4 yards per carry. Against the run, the Horned Frogs gave up 289 yds on 54 tries, which is 5.4 yards per rush surrendered. TCU allowed 13 pass completions on 22 tries for a total of 230 yds, and a completion percentage of 59.1%.

The Horned Frogs have racked up 1,342 total yards this season. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, TCU has compiled 8 touchdowns via the pass and 6 touchdowns via the ground. They have turned the football over 2 times. TCU has recorded 72 first downs, and they have been hurt by 17 penalties for 205 yards. As a team they're maintaining an average of 96.3 yards on the ground ranking this team at 115th in college football. When it comes to getting in the endzone, the TCU Horned Frogs have an average of 37.7 points per outing.

Concerning passing yards, the Horned Frogs are giving up 463 yards which puts them in 43rd in the country. They have conceded 154.3 yards per outing through the air as well as allowing a completion percentage of 49.8%. For the season, they have yielded 310.7 yards per game ranking them 58th in Division 1. They have conceded 5 touchdowns by air and 3 touchdowns running the ball. They are allowing an average of 3.8 yards per run and 156.3 rushing yards per game this season. Over the course of this season, they have conceded 469 rushing yards through 3 games. The Horned Frogs rank 65th in D-1 when it comes to team defense, allowing 20.7 PPG.

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The Mustangs head into this matchup 2-1 this year. The last time they took the field, the Mustangs went home defeated by a final of 18-15 when they played the BYU Cougars. SMU ran for 3.3 yds per attempt, finishing the contest with 117 yds on 36 attempts. The Mustangs finished the game with a total of 261 yds on 72 plays (3.6 yds per play). The Mustangs pass defense allowed a completion percentage of 51.7%, relinquishing 202 yds on 15 for 29 through the air. SMU conceded 35 run attempts for 134 yards (3.8 yards per rush).

In terms of their scoring prowess, the Mustangs are sitting 43rd in the country with 34.3 points per game. The SMU Mustangs have an average of 421.3 yards per contest, ranking them 50th in college football. The SMU offense has compiled 239 penalty yards on 24 infractions, which ranks them 27th in Division 1 in terms of hurting your team. They have thrown 2 picks while losing 3 fumbles and they have been able to earn 69 first downs. For the year thus far, the Mustangs have earned 678 yards through the air as well as an average of 226.0 passing yards per contest, giving them a rank of 72nd in the country. They have an average of 195.3 run yards per game and have run for 586 yards in total.

The Mustangs are allowing 16.3 PPG, ranking them 44th in the nation. SMU has surrendered a total of 316 rushing yards (105.3 yards per contest) as well as 2 touchdowns on the ground this year. Over the course of the season, they have relinquished 49 total points. They have given up 4 touchdowns through the air as well as 158.3 yards per outing, which puts them in 37th in the nation. The Mustangs defense has participated in 188 plays, which is good for 69th in Division 1. Their defense has 2 fumbles and 4 picks so far this year.

Who will win tonight's Horned Frogs/Mustangs college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Horned Frogs -2.5

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