North Texas Mean Green vs Texas State Bobcats Prediction, 1/3/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: North Texas Mean Green vs Texas State Bobcats

Date: Friday, January 3, 2025

Location: Gerald J. Ford Stadium in Dallas, TX

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Bobcats (-5.5)

Total/Over-Under: 68

The North Texas Mean Green (6-6) are headed to Gerald J. Ford Stadium on Friday, January 3, 2025 where they will attempt to defeat the Texas State Bobcats (7-5) in the SERVPRO First Responder Bowl. Texas State opens as 5.5-point favorites. The betting total comes in at 68.

The North Texas Mean Green come into this matchup with a record of 6-6 for this season. In their last matchup, the Mean Green took on the Temple Owls and took home the win by a score of 24-17. On the ground, the Mean Green gave up 77 yds on 29 tries, which is an average of 2.7 yards per rush surrendered. North Texas gave up 27 completions on 44 tries for 268 yards, and a completion rate of 61.4%. In all, they ran 78 plays which gave them a total of 433 yards. The North Texas Mean Green ran the football 38 different times and accounted for 253 yards, which earned them an average of 6.7 yards per tote.

When it comes to scoring, the North Texas Mean Green have an average of 34.0 points per outing. As a team they average 165.8 yards via the ground game which is 61st in D-1. The Mean Green have tallied 5,864 yards in total this year. When it comes to getting in the endzone, North Texas has earned 31 touchdowns via the pass and 22 rushing touchdowns. North Texas has a total of 287 first downs as a team, and they have been called for 82 infractions for 683 yds. They have turned the football over 19 times.

When it comes to passing yards, the Mean Green are allowing 3,133 yds which puts them in 120th in the country. They are conceding 261.1 yards per outing via the pass in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 60.1%. Over the course of this year, they have surrendered 456.6 yards per game ranking them 128th in college football. They have granted 22 touchdowns via the pass as well as 26 touchdowns on the ground. They are allowing 4.7 yards per running attempt and 195.5 rushing yards per contest on the campaign. Overall, they have conceded 2,346 yards on the ground through 12 outings. The Mean Green are sitting in 121st in the nation when it comes to team defense, allowing 34.5 points per game.

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The Bobcats step onto the field holding a record of 7-5 for this season. For their last game, the Bobcats got the victory with a final of 45-38 when they played the South Alabama Jaguars. Texas State gave up 27 rush attempts for 147 yards (5.4 yards per rush). The Bobcats secondary conceded a completion rate of 70.0%, relinquishing 230 yds on 21 out of 30 through the air. The Bobcats finished the game with 530 yards on 85 plays (6.2 yds per play). Texas State rushed the football for 4.9 yds per attempt, finishing with a total of 282 yds on 57 attempts.

In relation to their scoring prowess, the Bobcats are sitting 10th in D-1 by tallying 37.1 points per contest. The Texas State Bobcats are averaging 474.3 yards per outing, which has them sitting 5th in the country. The Texas State offense has 740 yds of penalties on 79 infractions, which is 42nd in the nation in terms of giving up free yards. They have thrown 13 interceptions while letting opponents recover 8 fumbles and they have been able to earn 313 1st downs. Over the course of the season thus far, the Bobcats have racked up 3,186 yards through the air as well as an average of 265.5 passing yards per game, which ranks 28th in D-1. They hold an average of 208.8 yards per game via the ground game and have rushed for 2,506 yards for the season.

Texas State has allowed a total of 1,762 rushing yards (146.8 yards per game) and 22 touchdowns on the ground for the campaign. They have surrendered 11 touchdowns through the air in addition to 199.8 yards/game, which has them sitting 40th in Division 1. Their defense has totaled 8 fumbles recovered and 7 picks this year. The Bobcats defense has participated in 814 plays, which is 76th in the country. The Bobcats are conceding 24.3 PPG, which puts them 64th in the nation. This season, they have allowed 292 points.

Who will win tonight's Mean Green/Bobcats college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Bobcats -5.5

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