New Mexico Lobos vs New Mexico State Aggies Prediction, 9/28/2024 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New Mexico Lobos vs New Mexico State Aggies

Date: Saturday, September 28, 2024

Location: Aggie Memorial Stadium in Las Cruces, NM

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Aggies (+9.0)

Total/Over-Under: 58

The New Mexico Lobos (0-4) are en route to Aggie Memorial Stadium on Saturday, September 28, 2024 where they will attempt to defeat the New Mexico State Aggies (1-3). New Mexico State opens this matchup as 9.0-point dogs. The over/under has been set at 58.

The New Mexico Lobos come into this game with a record of 0-4 for this year. In their last matchup, the Lobos went up against the Fresno State Bulldogs and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 38-21. Against the rush, the Lobos conceded 93 yards on 33 tries, which averages out to 2.8 yds per rush surrendered. New Mexico conceded 27 pass completions on 34 tries for 252 yds, and a completion percentage of 79.4%. Once the final whistle blew, they tallied 81 plays which gave them a total of 485 yds. The New Mexico Lobos ran the ball 28 different times and accrued 147 yds, earning them an average of 5.3 yards per tote.

The Lobos have attained 1,727 total yards for this campaign. In terms of scoring, New Mexico has compiled 6 touchdowns through the air and 5 rushing touchdowns. They have surrendered the ball 8 times. New Mexico has a total of 96 first downs offensively, and they have been hurt by 45 infractions for 335 yds. As a unit they average 166.5 yards on the ground which is 66th in Division 1. In terms of putting points on the board, the New Mexico Lobos hold an average of 27.5 points per game.

In terms of yards through the air, the Lobos have conceded 1,114 yds which ranks them 123rd in the country. They have conceded 278.5 yards per game through the air and giving up a completion percentage of 68.2%. During the season, they are surrendering 510.5 yards/game which has them sitting 131st in D-1. They have yielded 12 touchdowns via the pass as well as 11 touchdowns on the ground. They are giving up 6.4 yards per attempt on the ground and 232.0 yards on the ground per game for the campaign. Over the course of this season, they have conceded 928 running yards through 4 games. The Lobos rank 133rd in D-1 when it comes to the opposition scoring, allowing 44.8 PPG.

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The Aggies come into this game with a record of 1-3 for this season. In their last game, the Aggies took a loss by a score of 31-11 against the Sam Houston State Bearkats. New Mexico State gave up 55 attempts on the ground for 280 yds (5.1 yards per rush). The Aggies secondary gave up a completion percentage of 46.2%, relinquishing 102 yds on 12 for 26 through the air. The Aggies finished the game with 152 yds on 57 plays (2.7 yds per play). New Mexico State ran the ball for 2.8 yards per carry, totaling 78 yds on 28 carries.

The New Mexico State Aggies average 211.3 yards per outing, which has them sitting 133rd in Division 1. The New Mexico State offense has accrued 233 yds of penalties on 29 violations, which is good for 37th in college football in terms of helping out the opposition. They hold an average of 123.0 rushing yards per game and have toted the ball for 492 yards for the year. They have thrown 6 picks while conceding 2 fumbles and they have been able to earn 60 1st downs. Concerning how much they score, the Aggies are sitting 127th in Division 1 averaging 14.5 points per outing. During the season to this point, the Aggies have thrown for a total of 353 passing yards along with an average of 88.3 passing yards per game, which has them sitting 132nd in the country.

New Mexico State has conceded a total of 835 yards rushing (208.8 yards per game) in addition to 9 touchdowns via the rush on the season. They have allowed 4 touchdowns through the air as well as 224.3 yards/outing, which has them sitting 86th in college football. Their defense has earned 0 fumbles and 3 interceptions for the season. The Aggies defense has been on the field for 279 plays, ranking them 115th in D-1. The Aggies are relinquishing 31.3 points per contest, which has them sitting 109th in college football. This year, they have relinquished 125 total points.

Who will win tonight's Lobos/Aggies college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Aggies +9.0

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