Navy Midshipmen vs Air Force Falcons Prediction, 10/5/2024 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Navy Midshipmen vs Air Force Falcons

Date: Saturday, October 5, 2024

Location: Falcon Stadium in USAF Academy, CO

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Falcons (+8.0)

Total/Over-Under: 34.5

The Air Force Falcons (1-3) are welcoming the Navy Midshipmen (4-0) at Falcon Stadium on Saturday, October 5, 2024. Navy opens this matchup as 8.0-point favorites. The total is set at 34.5.

The Navy Midshipmen come into this game with a record of 4-0 for this year. In their last matchup, the Midshipmen faced the UAB Blazers and notched a win by a score of 41-18. In the running game, the Midshipmen gave up 192 yards on 43 attempts, which is an average of 4.5 yards per run surrendered. Navy surrendered 14 pass completions on 23 attempts for 202 yds, and a completion percentage of 60.9%. When the final whistle blew, they ran 53 plays which totaled 452 yds. The Navy Midshipmen rushed the ball a total of 42 times and had 227 yds, which earned them an average of 5.4 yds per carry.

The Midshipmen have earned 1,864 yards in total for the year. In terms of getting in the endzone, Navy has compiled 8 passing touchdowns and 16 rushing touchdowns. They have given the ball to the opposition 2 different times. Navy has tallied 80 1st downs offensively, and they have been called for 22 infractions for 173 yds. As a team they average 287.3 yards rushing which ranks them 5th in college football. Regarding scoring, the Navy Midshipmen are sitting at 46.0 points per game.

In terms of passing yardage, the Midshipmen are giving up 1,070 yards which puts them in 90th in the nation. They have conceded 267.5 yards per game via the pass as well as allowing a completion percentage of 59.3%. Overall, they are giving up 425.5 yards per game which has them sitting 113th in Division 1. They have allowed 5 touchdowns through the air as well as 7 touchdowns pounding the rock. They are giving up 4.5 yards per rushing attempt and 158.0 rushing yards per game for the year. Overall, they have allowed 632 yards via the ground game in 4 games. The Midshipmen are sitting in 68th in the country when it comes to their opponents scoring, allowing 23.5 PPG.

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The Falcons come into this matchup with a record of 1-3 for this year. In their last game, the Falcons walked away with a loss by a score of 31-19 against the Wyoming Cowboys. Air Force ended up running for 4.5 yards per attempt, finishing with 205 yards on 46 carries. The Falcons ended up finishing with 320 yards and they ran 59 plays (5.4 yards per play). The Falcons passing defense conceded a completion rate of 72.7%, surrendering 188 yds on 16 for 22 passing. Air Force allowed 41 attempts on the ground for 173 yards (4.2 yds per rush).

The Air Force Falcons have an average of 243.0 yards per outing, which ranks them 131st in D-1. The Air Force offense has 170 yards of penalties on 18 violations, which is good for 122nd in Division 1 in terms of helping out the other team. They hold an average of 176.8 yards via the ground game and have toted the ball for 707 yards overall. They have tossed 3 picks while letting opponents recover 2 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 57 first downs. When discussing putting points on the board, the Falcons rank 131st in D-1 by tallying 12.5 points per outing. For the year to this point, the Falcons have compiled 265 passing yards in addition to an average of 66.3 passing yards per game, giving them a rank of 134th in the nation.

The Falcons are conceding 21.3 points per game, ranking them 49th in the country. Air Force has conceded a total of 567 yards rushing (141.8 yards per outing) as well as 7 touchdowns on the ground so far this year. This year, they have relinquished 85 points in total. They have conceded 3 touchdowns through the air in addition to 200.3 yards per outing, which has them ranked 59th in Division 1. The Falcons defense has taken the field for 249 plays, which ranks them 23rd in D-1. Their defense has compiled 6 fumbles recovered and 1 pick this season.

Who will win tonight's Midshipmen/Falcons college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Midshipmen -8.0

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