Missouri Tigers vs UMass Minutemen Prediction, 10/12/2024 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Missouri Tigers vs UMass Minutemen

Date: Saturday, October 12, 2024

Location: Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium in Amherst, MA

TV: ESPN2

Odds/Point Spread: Minutemen (+27.0)

Total/Over-Under: 53.5

The Missouri Tigers (4-1) are headed to Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium on Saturday, October 12, 2024 where they will take on the UMass Minutemen (1-5). UMass opens this contest as 27.0-point underdogs. The over/under comes in at 53.5.

The Missouri Tigers step onto the field holding a record of 4-1 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Tigers took on the Texas A&M Aggies and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 41-10. The Missouri Tigers ran the ball 30 different times and tallied 68 yards, earning them an average of 2.3 yards per carry. When all was said and done, they tallied 61 plays which gave them a total of 254 yards. Missouri gave up 18 completions on 22 tries for a total of 276 yards, and a completion percentage of 81.8%. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Tigers conceded 236 yds on 36 attempts, which averages out to 6.6 yds per run allowed.

In terms of scoring points, the Missouri Tigers are sitting at 31.2 PPG. As a team they're maintaining an average of 178.8 yards on the ground ranking this team at 54th in the country. The Tigers have attained 2,143 total yards this season. With reference to notching touchdowns, Missouri has earned 5 touchdowns through the air and 11 rushing touchdowns. Missouri has accumulated 115 first downs as an offense, and they have been flagged for 34 infractions for 283 yds. They have surrendered the ball 2 different times.

When talking about yards through the air, the Tigers are allowing 785 yards which ranks them 11th in the nation. They are giving up 157.0 yards per game via the pass in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 56.5%. In total, they are surrendering 277.6 yards/outing putting them at 16th in the nation. They have yielded 5 touchdowns through the air in addition to 6 touchdowns via the ground game. They are allowing an average of 3.7 yards per running attempt and 120.6 rushing yards per contest for the season. During the season, they have conceded 603 rushing yards through 5 games. The Tigers rank 24th in Division 1 when it comes to team defense, giving up 17.8 points per game.

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The Minutemen head into this matchup 1-5 for this season. When they last played, the Minutemen took a defeat with a final score of 34-20 when they played the NIU Huskies. The Minutemen finished with a total of 378 yards while running 64 plays (5.9 yards per play). UMass ran for 3.4 yards per carry, finishing with a total of 115 yds on 34 attempts. UMass allowed 54 running attempts for 367 yds (6.8 yds per carry). The Minutemen secondary allowed a completion rate of 60.0%, surrendering 35 yards on 6 out of 10 passing.

When discussing the points being put on the board, the Minutemen are ranking 117th in the country averaging 19.2 points per game. The UMass Minutemen average 346.3 yards/outing, which has them sitting 101st in college football. The UMass offense has totaled 456 penalty yards on 52 infractions, which has them sitting 3rd in Division 1 in terms of hurting your team. They have thrown 3 picks while conceding 1 fumbles and they have recorded 119 1st downs. For the year so far, the Minutemen currently sit at 1,280 passing yards along with holding an average of 213.3 throwing yards per game, ranking them 85th in Division 1. They hold an average of 133.0 yards per game via the rush and have toted the ball for 798 yards in total.

UMass has surrendered a total of 971 rushing yards (161.8 yards per outing) and 12 touchdowns via the rush for the year. They have conceded 9 touchdowns through the air and 162.3 yards per game, which puts them in 19th in the country. They have earned 2 fumbles and 3 interceptions on the year. The Minutemen defense has been on the field for 344 plays, which has them sitting 71st in the nation. The Minutemen are relinquishing 31.3 PPG, which has them ranked 106th in D-1. This season, they have relinquished 188 total points.

Who will win tonight's Tigers/Minutemen college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Minutemen +27.0

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