Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Texas Longhorns Prediction, 9/28/2024 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Texas Longhorns

Date: Saturday, September 28, 2024

Location: DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium in Austin, TX

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Longhorns (-38.5)

Total/Over-Under: 61.5

DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium is where the Texas Longhorns (4-0) will attempt to beat the Mississippi State Bulldogs (1-3) on Saturday, September 28, 2024. Texas opens as 38.5-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under is set at 61.5.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs head into this matchup 1-3 this season. In their last contest, the Bulldogs played against the Florida Gators and went home with a loss by a final score of 45-28. For the game, they tallied 90 plays for 480 yards. The Mississippi State Bulldogs ended up rushing 56 times and accounted for 240 yards, which had them averaging 4.3 yds per carry. When it came to stopping the run, the Bulldogs conceded 226 yards on 36 attempts, which calculates to 6.3 yards per rush surrendered. Mississippi State surrendered 26 completions on 28 tries for a total of 277 yards, and a completion percentage of 92.9%.

The Bulldogs have earned 1,607 total yards for the season. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, Mississippi State has compiled 8 touchdowns through the air and 7 touchdowns on the ground. They have surrendered the football 4 times. Mississippi State has tallied 89 first downs offensively, and they have been flagged for 25 penalties for 224 yards. As a team they're averaging 133.3 yards rushing ranking them 97th in Division 1. Regarding scoring, the Mississippi State Bulldogs are averaging 31.0 PPG.

When it comes to yards through the air, the Bulldogs are conceding 800 yards which puts them in 74th in Division 1. They are allowing 200.0 yards per outing via the pass and conceding a completion percentage of 71.2%. During the season, they have given up 416.8 yards per contest which puts them 111th in Division 1. They have granted 7 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 7 touchdowns running the ball. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.9 yards per rush and 216.8 rushing yards per game for the campaign. During this campaign, they have conceded 867 yards on the ground through 4 contests. The Bulldogs sit in 107th in D-1 concerning team defense, allowing 30.8 points per game.

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The Longhorns head into this game 4-0 for this season. In their last game, the Longhorns went home victorious with a score of 51-3 when they faced the UL Monroe Warhawks. Texas rushed the ball for 4.6 yds per carry, finishing with a total of 239 yds on 52 carries. The Longhorns finished with a total of 497 yards on 81 plays (6.1 yds per play). The Longhorns passing defense gave up a completion percentage of 44.0%, relinquishing 54 yards on 11 for 25 through the air. Texas allowed 25 running attempts for 57 yards (2.3 yds per rush).

The Texas Longhorns have an average of 511.3 yards per game, which ranks them 12th in D-1. The Texas offense has totaled 184 yards of penalties on 24 violations, which ranks 59th in the nation in terms of giving up free yards. They hold an average of 189.8 rushing yards per game and have rushed for 759 yards for the year. They have thrown 4 interceptions while allowing opponents to recover 1 fumble and they have been able to obtain 95 first downs. When it comes to their ability to score points, the Longhorns are ranking 11th in the country with 47.5 PPG. For the season thus far, the Longhorns currently have a total of 1,286 passing yards as well as an average of 321.5 passing yards per game, ranking them 10th in the country.

The Longhorns are relinquishing 5.5 PPG, ranking them 2nd in D-1. Texas has allowed a total of 383 yards via the ground game (95.8 yards/game) as well as 1 touchdown by way of the ground game this season. In total, they have surrendered 22 total points. They have allowed 1 touchdowns through the air in addition to 116.0 yards per outing, ranking them 8th in the country. The Longhorns defense has been on the field for 231 plays, which is 48th in the country. They have compiled 1 fumble and 7 interceptions so far this year.

Who will win tonight's Bulldogs/Longhorns college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Longhorns -38.5

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