Liberty Flames vs UMass Minutemen Prediction, 11/16/2024 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Liberty Flames vs UMass Minutemen

Date: Saturday, November 16, 2024

Location: Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium in Amherst, MA

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Minutemen (+13.5)

Total/Over-Under: 53

Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium is the site where the UMass Minutemen (2-7) will go up against the Liberty Flames (6-2) on Saturday, November 16, 2024. Liberty is 13.5-point favorites. The total has been set at 53.

The Liberty Flames step onto the field holding a record of 6-2 this season. In their last matchup, the Flames stepped onto the field against the MTSU Blue Raiders and took home the win by a score of 37-17. The Liberty Flames ran the football 51 different times and totaled 339 yards, earning them an average of 6.6 yds per attempt. In the game, they had 67 plays for 500 yds. Liberty allowed 22 pass completions on 33 tries for a total of 263 yards, and a completion percentage of 66.7%. Against the run, the Flames conceded 70 yds on 26 attempts, which is an average of 2.7 yards per rush surrendered.

The Flames have racked up 3,539 total yards over the course of this year. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, Liberty has totaled 13 passing touchdowns and 18 rushing touchdowns. They have surrendered the football 10 different times. Liberty has 192 1st downs, and they have been called for 63 infractions for 644 yds. As a team they're averaging 242.4 yards on the ground which is 7th in the nation. In terms of putting the ball in the endzone, the Liberty Flames are sitting at 30.9 PPG.

The Flames sit in 52nd in the nation in terms of the opposition scoring, allowing 22.6 points per game. They are allowing 3.9 yards per rush and 140.9 rushing yards per game for the season. Overall, they have conceded 1,127 rushing yards through 8 games. When it comes to passing yards, the Flames have allowed 1,592 yds which ranks them 19th in the country. They have relinquished 199.0 yards per game via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 61.0%. For the season, they have given up 339.9 yards/outing ranking them 45th in college football. They have surrendered 7 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 15 touchdowns pounding the rock.

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The Minutemen head into this game 2-7 for this season. For their last game, the Minutemen took a loss by a final score of 45-20 when they played the Mississippi State Bulldogs. UMass ran the football for 4.1 yards per tote, finishing with a total of 199 yds on 49 attempts. The Minutemen ended up finishing with 335 yds while they ran 78 plays (4.3 yards per play). The Minutemen passing defense gave up a completion rate of 56.0%, surrendering 222 yds on 14 out of 25 through the air. UMass surrendered 30 rush attempts for 241 yards (8.0 yards per carry).

The UMass Minutemen hold an average of 330.7 yards/game, which ranks them 114th in D-1. The UMass offense has totaled 625 yards of penalties on 70 infractions, which is 20th in the nation in terms of helping out the other team. They hold an average of 143.2 yards per game on the ground and have rushed for 1,289 yards for the season. They have thrown 6 interceptions while surrendering 2 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 174 first downs. When looking at this team's ability to score points, the Minutemen are ranking 121st in D-1 with 19.2 points per game. For the season thus far, the Minutemen have compiled 1,687 passing yards together with an average of 187.4 passing yards per contest, ranking them 105th in college football.

The Minutemen are relinquishing 31.7 PPG, ranking them 107th in college football. UMass has conceded a total of 1,605 yards on the ground (178.3 yards/game) and 22 touchdowns via the rush so far this season. In total, they have relinquished 285 pts. They have allowed 12 touchdowns through the air in addition to 164.7 yards per outing, ranking them 10th in college football. The Minutemen defense has taken part in 520 plays, which is 5th in Division 1. Their defense has totaled 2 fumbles and 4 picks this season.

Who will win tonight's Flames/Minutemen college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Flames -13.5

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