Florida State Seminoles vs SMU Mustangs Prediction, 9/28/2024 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Florida State Seminoles vs SMU Mustangs

Date: Saturday, September 28, 2024

Location: Gerald J. Ford Stadium in Dallas, TX

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Mustangs (-6.0)

Total/Over-Under: 47

The SMU Mustangs (3-1) are welcoming the Florida State Seminoles (1-3) at Gerald J. Ford Stadium on Saturday, September 28, 2024. SMU opens this game as 6.0-point favorites. The total is set at 47.

The Florida State Seminoles come into this game with a record of 1-3 this season. In their last game, the Seminoles faced the California Golden Bears and earned the victory with a final of 14-9. Against the run, the Seminoles gave up 107 yards on 37 tries, which is 2.9 yards per run allowed. Florida State relinquished 22 pass completions on 37 tries for 303 yds, and a completion percentage of 59.5%. In all, they had 68 plays which gave them 284 yards. The Florida State Seminoles ended up rushing 41 times and totaled 107 yds, earning them an average of 2.6 yards per carry.

In terms of scoring, the Florida State Seminoles have an average of 15.0 points per outing. As a team they hold an average of 65.8 yards rushing which is 131st in D-1. The Seminoles have racked up 1,106 total yards over the course of this year. In terms of scoring touchdowns, Florida State has compiled 2 touchdowns via the pass and 4 touchdowns on the ground. Florida State has a total of 61 1st downs offensively, and they have been flagged for 21 penalties for 175 yds. They have given the ball to the opposition 5 times.

The Seminoles are ranked 48th in Division 1 when it comes to team defense, giving up 20.3 PPG. They are giving up 4.0 yards per run and 156.3 rushing yards per game on the season. Overall, they have given up 625 rushing yards through 4 games. In terms of yards through the air, the Seminoles have allowed 827 yards which ranks them 78th in D-1. They have allowed 206.8 yards per contest through the air as well as conceding a completion percentage of 63.0%. Over the course of this season, they have given up 363.0 yards/contest which has them sitting 80th in D-1. They have granted 4 touchdowns by air as well as 5 touchdowns pounding the rock.

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The Mustangs head into this game 3-1 for this year. When they last played, the Mustangs walked away with a victory by a final of 66-42 when they played the TCU Horned Frogs. SMU ran the football for 5.7 yds per carry, finishing with 238 yards on 42 carries. The Mustangs ended up finishing with 375 yds while they ran 61 plays (6.1 yds per play). The Mustangs pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 67.4%, surrendering 415 yards on 31 out of 46 through the air. SMU gave up 32 rushing attempts for 65 yds (2.0 yards per carry).

When it comes to how much they score, the Mustangs are ranking 16th in college football holding an average of 42.3 points per outing. The SMU Mustangs average 409.8 yards per outing, which ranks them 57th in D-1. The SMU offense has accrued 316 yds of penalties on 31 infractions, ranking them 22nd in the nation in terms of helping out the opposition. They have tossed 2 interceptions while allowing opponents to recover 4 fumbles and they have earned 92 1st downs. For the season thus far, the Mustangs have compiled 815 passing yards along with holding an average of 203.8 throwing yards per contest, which has them ranked 93rd in the country. They average 206.0 yards per game on the ground and have run for 824 yards for the season.

SMU has surrendered a total of 381 rushing yards (95.3 yards per game) and 4 touchdowns via the rush for the campaign. They have yielded 8 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 222.5 yards/game, which puts them in 81st in the country. They have tallied 5 fumbles and 6 picks for the season. The Mustangs defense has been on the field for 266 plays, which is 95th in Division 1. The Mustangs are surrendering 22.8 points per contest, which puts them 67th in D-1. This season, they have surrendered 91 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Seminoles/Mustangs college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Seminoles +6.0

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