Buffalo Bulls vs Liberty Flames Prediction, 1/4/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Buffalo Bulls vs Liberty Flames

Date: Saturday, January 4, 2025

Location: Thomas A. Robinson National Stadium in Nassau, Bahamas

TV: ESPN2

Odds/Point Spread: Flames (-3.5)

Total/Over-Under: 53

The Buffalo Bulls (8-4) are hitting the road to Thomas A. Robinson National Stadium on Saturday, January 4, 2025 where they will play the Liberty Flames (8-3) in the Bahamas Bowl. Buffalo opens as 3.5-point underdogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The total is 53.

The Buffalo Bulls head into this game 8-4 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Bulls played the Kent State Golden Flashes and walked away with a win by a score of 43-7. On the ground, the Bulls conceded 106 yards on 36 tries, which averages out to 2.9 yards per run allowed. Buffalo gave up 10 completions on 18 tries for a total of 102 yds, and a completion percentage of 55.6%. Overall, they ran 74 plays which gave them 446 yds. The Buffalo Bulls ran the rock 52 times and accumulated 253 yds, which came out to an average of 4.9 yds per carry.

When talking about putting the ball in the endzone, the Buffalo Bulls hold an average of 29.1 points per contest. As a unit they hold an average of 164.7 yards on the ground which is 63rd in the nation. The Bulls have earned 4,261 yards in total this year. In terms of notching touchdowns, Buffalo has earned 19 touchdowns via the pass and 23 touchdowns via the ground. Buffalo has tallied 223 1st downs as a team, and they have been flagged for 52 infractions for 511 yds. They have surrendered the ball 13 different times.

When talking about passing yards, the Bulls are allowing 3,107 yds which ranks them 119th in the nation. They have conceded 258.9 yards per outing through the air as well as giving up a completion percentage of 62.9%. Overall, they are giving up 404.3 yards per outing which has them ranked 100th in the nation. They have surrendered 24 touchdowns through the air as well as 17 touchdowns running the ball. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.0 yards per rushing attempt and 145.3 rushing yards per game on the year. Overall, they have conceded 1,744 yards via the ground game in 12 games. The Bulls are sitting in 87th in D-1 when it comes to the opposition scoring, allowing 28.0 points per contest.

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The Flames head into this game 8-3 for this season. For their last game, the Flames took a defeat with a final score of 20-18 when they faced the Sam Houston Bearkats. The Flames finished the contest with a total of 262 yards while running 73 plays (3.6 yds per play). Liberty ran the ball for 5.0 yards per carry, finishing the contest with 179 yards on 36 carries. Liberty surrendered 44 rushing attempts for 131 yds (3.0 yards per carry). The Flames pass defense allowed a completion rate of 55.9%, surrendering 202 yards on 19 out of 34 passing.

The Liberty Flames have an average of 434.5 yards per game, ranking them 26th in the nation. The Liberty offense has totaled 773 yards of penalties on 80 violations, which ranks 41st in the country in terms of helping out the opposition. They have an average of 258.7 yards via the ground game and have toted the ball for 2,846 yards overall. They have given away 6 picks while allowing opponents to recover 9 fumbles and they have been able to earn 266 first downs. When it comes to how much they score, the Flames are sitting 45th in the country by tallying 30.7 points per game. For the year so far, the Flames have racked up 1,934 passing yards as well as an average of 175.8 passing yards per game, which is ranked 119th in Division 1.

Liberty has allowed a total of 1,627 yards on the ground (147.9 yards per game) in addition to 20 touchdowns via the rush on the season. They have yielded 11 touchdowns through the air in addition to 201.7 yards/outing, which has them in 44th in the nation. Their defense has tallied 7 fumbles and 8 picks this season. The Flames defense has taken part in 710 plays, which ranks 7th in college football. The Flames are conceding 23.3 PPG, which has them 54th in the country. Over the course of the season, they have surrendered 256 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Bulls/Flames college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Flames -3.5

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