Alabama Crimson Tide vs Vanderbilt Commodores Prediction, 10/5/2024 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Alabama Crimson Tide vs Vanderbilt Commodores

Date: Saturday, October 5, 2024

Location: FirstBank Stadium in Nashville, TN

TV: SEC NETWORK

Odds/Point Spread: Commodores (+23.0)

Total/Over-Under: 55.5

The Alabama Crimson Tide (4-0) are hitting the road to FirstBank Stadium on Saturday, October 5, 2024 where they will play the Vanderbilt Commodores (2-2). Alabama is 23.0-point favorites. The over/under is set at 55.5.

The Alabama Crimson Tide come into this game with a record of 4-0 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Crimson Tide faced off with the Georgia Bulldogs and notched a win by a score of 41-34. In the running game, the Crimson Tide gave up 80 yds on 26 tries, which calculates to 3.1 yds per rush allowed. Alabama surrendered 27 pass completions on 50 attempts for a total of 439 yds, and a completion rate of 54.0%. In all, they tallied 65 plays which totaled 547 yds. The Alabama Crimson Tide ran the ball 32 times and accounted for 173 yards, which had them averaging 5.4 yds per carry.

Concerning scoring points, the Alabama Crimson Tide have an average of 47.0 points per game. As a team they have an average of 221.8 yards via the ground game giving them a rank of 16th in the nation. The Crimson Tide have earned 1,947 total yards this year. When it comes to getting in the endzone, Alabama has amassed 10 touchdowns via the pass and 16 touchdowns on the ground. Alabama has accounted for 84 first downs as a unit, and they have committed 34 infractions for 309 yards. They have surrendered the football 5 different times.

The Crimson Tide are ranked 21st in college football regarding the opposition scoring, allowing 15.0 PPG. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.4 yards per rushing attempt and 119.3 yards on the ground per game for the campaign. Overall, they have given up 477 yards on the ground through 4 games. In terms of passing yards, the Crimson Tide have given up 786 yards which puts them in 39th in Division 1. They have given up 196.5 yards per outing via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 52.9%. Over the course of this year, they have surrendered 315.8 yards/outing which ranks them 41st in the nation. They have surrendered 4 touchdowns by air in addition to 3 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Commodores head into this matchup 2-2 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Commodores took a loss by a final score of 30-27 against the Missouri Tigers. Vanderbilt conceded 40 rushing attempts for 216 yards (5.4 yards per rush). The Commodores secondary conceded a completion rate of 62.2%, surrendering 226 yds on 23 out of 37 passing. The Commodores finished the game with 324 yards and they ran 59 plays (5.5 yards per play). Vanderbilt ran for 4.1 yds per carry, finishing with 146 yards on 36 carries.

In terms of their ability to score points, the Commodores are 26th in the country with 37.0 points per game. The Vanderbilt Commodores hold an average of 354.3 yards/contest, which is good for 96th in Division 1. The Vanderbilt offense has totaled 333 penalty yds on 32 violations, which ranks 51st in the nation in terms of making mistakes. They have thrown 0 picks while losing 1 fumble and they have tallied 76 first downs. During the season so far, the Commodores currently sit at 738 yards via the pass together with holding an average of 184.5 throwing yards per outing, putting them at 101st in college football. They maintain an average of 169.8 yards via the ground game and have run for 679 yards for the year.

The Commodores are surrendering 23.3 points per contest, ranking them 67th in the nation. Vanderbilt has yielded a total of 488 yards rushing (122.0 yards per contest) as well as 3 touchdowns via the rush on the year. In total, they have allowed 93 total points. They have yielded 7 touchdowns through the air as well as 212.0 yards per outing, which has them in 71st in the nation. The Commodores defense has been on the field for 260 plays, which ranks 36th in the country. They have 0 fumbles and 4 interceptions so far this season.

Who will win tonight's Crimson Tide/Commodores college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Commodores +23.0

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