Air Force Falcons vs New Mexico Lobos Prediction, 10/12/2024 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Air Force Falcons vs New Mexico Lobos

Date: Saturday, October 12, 2024

Location: University Stadium in Albuquerque, NM

TV: truTV

Odds/Point Spread: Lobos (-6.5)

Total/Over-Under: 54

The New Mexico Lobos (1-4) will play the Air Force Falcons (1-4) at University Stadium on Saturday, October 12, 2024. New Mexico opens as 6.5-point favorites. The over/under is set at 54.

The Air Force Falcons come into this matchup with a record of 1-4 for this year. The last time they took the field, the Falcons faced off with the Navy Midshipmen and took a loss by a final of 34-7. At the end of the game, they had 57 plays which totaled 273 yards. The Air Force Falcons ran the rock 48 different times and totaled 158 yards, which earned them an average of 3.3 yds per attempt. On the ground, the Falcons conceded 329 yds on 49 tries, which is an average of 6.7 yds per run surrendered. Air Force relinquished 9 pass completions on 15 attempts for 134 yds, and a completion percentage of 60.0%.

The Falcons currently have 1,245 yards in total this year. When it comes to getting in the endzone, Air Force has compiled 1 touchdown through the air and 6 rushing touchdowns. They have given the ball to the opposition 6 times. Air Force has earned 71 first downs as a team, and they have committed 22 penalties for 205 yards. As a team they hold an average of 173.0 yards via the ground game which ranks them 58th in the country. Regarding scoring points, the Air Force Falcons have an average of 11.4 PPG.

The Falcons rank 70th in the nation concerning team defense, conceding 23.8 points per game. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.8 yards per running attempt and 179.2 rushing yards per game for the campaign. For the season, they have conceded 896 running yards through 5 games. Concerning passing yardage, the Falcons are allowing 935 yards which has them ranked 29th in the nation. They have conceded 187.0 yards per contest via the pass as well as allowing a completion percentage of 62.1%. Overall, they are allowing 366.2 yards per outing which puts them 78th in the nation. They have given up 3 touchdowns via the pass and 12 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Lobos head into this game 1-4 this season. When they last played, the Lobos walked away with a victory by a final of 50-40 against the New Mexico State Aggies. The Lobos finished the game with 579 yards while running 77 plays (7.5 yds per play). New Mexico ran the ball for 6.8 yards per tote, totaling 331 yards on 49 carries. New Mexico relinquished 35 rush attempts for 285 yds (8.1 yds per carry). The Lobos pass defense conceded a completion percentage of 44.8%, relinquishing 189 yards on 13 for 29 passing.

The New Mexico Lobos hold an average of 461.2 yards per game, which is good for 23rd in the nation. The New Mexico offense has totaled 505 penalty yards on 59 violations, which ranks 1st in college football in terms of making mistakes. They are averaging 199.4 rushing yards per game and have rushed for 997 yards for the year. They have given away 6 picks while losing 2 fumbles and they have been able to tally 124 first downs. Concerning how much they score, the Lobos currently sit 48th in the nation by tallying 32.0 points per contest. During the season to this point, the Lobos currently have a total of 1,309 yards through the air as well as holding an average of 261.8 throwing yards per outing, which has them ranked 40th in the nation.

New Mexico has surrendered a total of 1,213 rushing yards (242.6 yards per contest) in addition to 15 touchdowns rushing on the season. They have yielded 13 touchdowns from the passing game and 260.6 yards/outing, ranking them 116th in the nation. Their defense has totaled 6 fumbles recovered and 1 pick this season. The Lobos defense has been on the field for 333 plays, which has them sitting 55th in college football. The Lobos are conceding 43.8 PPG, which puts them 132nd in the nation. Overall, they have allowed 219 pts.

Who will win tonight's Falcons/Lobos college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Falcons +6.5

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