Wisconsin Badgers vs Illinois Fighting Illini Prediction, 10/21/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Wisconsin Badgers vs Illinois Fighting Illini

Date: Saturday, October 21, 2023

Location: Memorial Stadium in Champaign, IL

TV: FS1

Odds/Point Spread: Fighting Illini (+4)

Total/Over-Under: 43.5

The Wisconsin Badgers (4-2) are hitting the road to Memorial Stadium on Saturday, October 21, 2023 where they will play the Illinois Fighting Illini (3-4). Wisconsin opens as 4-point favorites. The over/under is 43.5.

The Wisconsin Badgers step onto the field holding a record of 4-2 for this season. In their last game, the Badgers went up against the Iowa Hawkeyes and ended up losing by a score of 15-6. Braedyn Locke went 15/30 with 122 yards through the air. He had a quarterback rating of 77.5 and ended the contest with 1 interception. Braelon Allen was the rushing leader for the Badgers with 18 carries for 87 yards (4.8 yds per carry). Overall, they ran 78 plays which gave them 332 yards. The Wisconsin Badgers ran the football 28 different times and accounted for 104 yds, which earned them an average of 3.7 yds per carry. In the running game, the Badgers conceded 200 yards on 48 attempts, which is an average of 4.2 yards per run allowed. Wisconsin relinquished 6 completions on 14 tries for 37 yards, and a completion rate of 42.9%.

In terms of putting points on the board, the Wisconsin Badgers are averaging 27.2 points per game. As a team they average 187.0 yards on the ground giving them a rank of 32nd in college football. The Badgers currently have 2,399 total yards for the season. In terms of notching touchdowns, Wisconsin has earned 3 passing touchdowns and 15 rushing touchdowns. Wisconsin has a total of 126 first downs as a unit, and they have been called for 35 infractions for 291 yards. They have surrendered the ball 10 times.

The Badgers sit in 21st in D-1 concerning the opposition scoring, allowing 17.8 PPG. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.8 yards per rush on the ground and 122.8 rushing yards per game so far this season. Overall, they have allowed 737 yards via the running game in 6 games. When talking about passing yardage, the Badgers have given up 1,273 yards which puts them in 34th in D-1. They have conceded 212.2 yards per outing via the pass in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 57.8%. In total, they are giving up 335.0 yards per contest putting them at 37th in Division 1. They have yielded 7 touchdowns via the pass as well as 5 touchdowns pounding the rock.

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The Fighting Illini step onto the field holding a record of 3-4 for this year. In their last game, the Fighting Illini took home the win by a final score of 27-24 against the Maryland Terrapins. Luke Altmyer (2 touchdowns) finished the game with 206 yards on 16/28 through the air while his QB rate was 135.4. He had 1 interception and his average yards per attempt was 7.4. Kaden Feagin carried the ball 19 times for 84 yds, finishing the game with 4.4 yards per carry for Illinois. The Fighting Illini finished the game with a total of 337 yards and they ran 67 plays (5.0 yards per play). Illinois ran the football for 3.4 yds per attempt, finishing the contest with 131 yards on 39 carries. Illinois surrendered 29 rushing attempts for 93 yds (3.2 yards per carry). The Fighting Illini passing defense conceded a completion percentage of 70.0%, relinquishing 287 yards on 28 out of 40 through the air.

Concerning how much they score, the Fighting Illini are sitting 117th in the nation holding an average of 20.3 points per contest. The Illinois Fighting Illini maintain an average of 371.6 yards per outing, which has them sitting 84th in college football. The Illinois offense has accrued 435 yds of penalties on 45 violations, which is 38th in the country in terms of helping out the opposition. They have thrown 9 picks while losing 5 fumbles and they have earned 141 first downs. Over the course of the season to this point, the Fighting Illini have compiled 1,708 yards via the pass in addition to an average of 244.0 passing yards per contest, which has them ranked 55th in D-1. They are averaging 127.6 yards per game on the ground and have rushed for 893 yards overall.

Illinois has allowed a total of 1,149 yards via the ground game (164.1 yards/game) and 11 touchdowns via the rush this season. They have given up 11 touchdowns through the air and 234.3 yards/outing, which has them ranked 82nd in Division 1. They have tallied 5 fumbles recovered and 4 picks for the year. The Fighting Illini defense has participated in 515 plays, which is good for 125th in the nation. The Fighting Illini are relinquishing 28.1 points per game, ranking them 86th in Division 1. In total, they have given up 197 total points.

Who will win tonight's Badgers/Fighting Illini college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Fighting Illini +4

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