Western Michigan Broncos vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction, 10/7/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Western Michigan Broncos vs Mississippi State Bulldogs

Date: Saturday, October 7, 2023

Location: Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville, MS

TV: SEC Network

Odds/Point Spread: Bulldogs (-21)

Total/Over-Under: 58

The Western Michigan Broncos (2-3) are en route to Davis Wade Stadium on Saturday, October 7, 2023 where they will take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs (2-3). Mississippi State opens as 21-point favorites. The over/under is 58.

The Western Michigan Broncos come into this matchup with a record of 2-3 for this year. In their last game, the Broncos played the Ball State Cardinals and went home with a win by a final score of 42-24. Zahir Abdus-Salaam was the best rusher for the Broncos with 8 carries for 53 yards (6.6 yards per carry). Treyson Bourguet connected on 24/39 with 328 yards passing and 3 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rating of 157.6 and ended the contest without throwing a pick. When it came to stopping the run, the Broncos gave up 48 yards on 26 tries, which averages out to 1.8 yds per rush surrendered. Western Michigan relinquished 26 pass completions on 37 tries for 316 yds, and a completion percentage of 70.3%. In the game, they had 75 plays which converted into 461 yards. The Western Michigan Broncos ended up rushing 36 times and tallied 133 yards, earning them an average of 3.7 yards per tote.

When it comes to scoring points, the Western Michigan Broncos are averaging 25.0 PPG. As a team they maintain an average of 184.4 yards in the run game which ranks them 40th in the nation. The Broncos have racked up 1,926 yards in total for the season. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, Western Michigan has totaled 5 touchdowns via the pass and 11 rushing touchdowns. Western Michigan has 103 first downs as a team, and they have been called for 35 infractions for 323 yds. They have turned the football over 7 times.

When it comes to passing yardage, the Broncos are allowing 1,250 yards which has them ranked 104th in Division 1. They are allowing 250.0 yards per game through the air as well as giving up a completion percentage of 61.0%. Over the course of this season, they are surrendering 405.0 yards per game which has them ranked 104th in Division 1. They have yielded 11 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 11 touchdowns on the ground. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.5 yards per run and 155.0 rushing yards per game for the season. During this campaign, they have allowed 775 yards via the ground game in 5 contests. The Broncos are sitting in 125th in the country when it comes to the opposition scoring, allowing 35.8 points per game.

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The Bulldogs head into this game 2-3 for this season. When they last stepped on the gridiron, the Bulldogs took a loss by a final score of 40-17 against the Alabama Crimson Tide. Will Rogers (1 TD) finished the contest with 107 yards on 15/27 passing while his QB rating was 78.8. He tossed 3 interceptions and his average yards per attempt was 4.0. Jo'quavious Marks carried the rock 9 times for 68 yds, finishing the game with 7.6 yards per attempt for Mississippi State. The Bulldogs ended up finishing with 261 yards while they ran 62 plays (4.2 yds per play). Mississippi State rushed the football for 4.4 yards per carry, finishing with 154 yds on 35 attempts. Mississippi State allowed 43 running attempts for 193 yards (4.5 yards per carry). The Bulldogs pass defense allowed a completion rate of 76.9%, surrendering 164 yds on 10 for 13 passing.

When it comes to this team's ability to score points, the Bulldogs currently rank 73rd in the country by scoring 28.0 PPG. The Mississippi State Bulldogs have an average of 362.6 yards per contest, which ranks them 87th in Division 1. The Mississippi State offense has compiled 209 penalty yards on 22 infractions, which is 108th in the nation in terms of giving up free yards. They have given away 4 picks while surrendering 2 fumbles and they have earned 84 1st downs. Over the course of the season so far, the Bulldogs currently sit at 1,090 passing yards as well as an average of 218.0 passing yards per game, which ranks 89th in the country. They maintain an average of 144.6 yards per game on the ground and have run for 723 yards for the year.

The Bulldogs are conceding 29.8 points per contest, which has them ranked 102nd in the country. Mississippi State has surrendered a total of 674 yards rushing (134.8 yards per outing) in addition to 9 touchdowns via the rush on the year. This season, they have conceded 149 points in total. They have allowed 8 touchdowns from the passing game as well as 256.8 yards per game, which puts them in 107th in D-1. The Bulldogs defense has participated in 325 plays, ranking them 68th in D-1. Their defense has compiled 3 fumbles recovered and 4 picks this season.

Who will win tonight's Broncos/Bulldogs college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Bulldogs -21

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