West Virginia Mountaineers vs UCF Knights Prediction, 10/28/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: West Virginia Mountaineers vs UCF Knights

Date: Saturday, October 28, 2023

Location: FBC Mortgage Stadium in Orlando, FL

TV: FS1

Odds/Point Spread: Knights (-4)

Total/Over-Under: 59.5

FBC Mortgage Stadium is the site where the UCF Knights (3-4) will try to beat the West Virginia Mountaineers (4-3) on Saturday, October 28, 2023. West Virginia is 4-point underdogs. The betting total comes in at 59.5.

The West Virginia Mountaineers come into this matchup with a record of 4-3 this season. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Mountaineers played the Oklahoma State Cowboys and ended up losing by a score of 48-34. Garrett Greene was the leader on the ground for the Mountaineers with 16 attempts for 117 yards (7.3 yards per carry). Garrett Greene connected on 15/30 with 249 yards passing and 2 TDs. He had a QB rate of 135.1 and finished the game with 1 interception. Against the rush, the Mountaineers conceded 281 yards on 33 tries, which calculates to 8.5 yards per run surrendered. West Virginia relinquished 24 pass completions on 36 tries for 210 yds, and a completion percentage of 66.7%. In all, they ran 74 plays which converted into 475 yds. The West Virginia Mountaineers ended up running the ball 44 different times and recorded 226 yds, earning them an average of 5.1 yds per carry.

When it comes to scoring, the West Virginia Mountaineers hold an average of 29.3 points per game. As a unit they average 191.4 yards rushing which ranks them 24th in college football. The Mountaineers have earned 2,758 yards in total for the season. When it comes to getting in the endzone, West Virginia has amassed 10 touchdowns through the air and 16 rushing touchdowns. West Virginia has amassed 148 first downs as a team, and they have committed 32 penalties for 306 yds. They have surrendered the football 9 times.

When talking about passing yards, the Mountaineers have conceded 1,566 yards which puts them in 58th in Division 1. They are allowing 223.7 yards per game via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 56.0%. During this campaign, they are conceding 365.9 yards/contest ranking them 59th in D-1. They have conceded 14 touchdowns through the air and 8 touchdowns running the ball. The opposition is running for 4.3 yards per run and 142.1 rushing yards per contest for the year. Over the course of this year, they have given up 995 yards via the ground game in 7 games. The Mountaineers are sitting in 79th in the country when it comes to team defense, allowing 26.3 PPG.

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The Knights head into this game 3-4 this season. In their last game, the Knights took a loss by a final score of 31-29 when they played the Oklahoma Sooners. John Rhys Plumlee (2 touchdowns) finished the contest with 248 yds on 16/30 through the air while his quarterback rating was 144.8. He kept the ball away from the defense with no interceptions and his average yards per attempt was 8.3. R.J. Harvey carried the ball 23 times for 101 yds, finishing the game with 4.4 yards per attempt for UCF. The Knights finished with a total of 397 yards while they ran 71 plays (5.6 yds per play). UCF ended up running for 3.6 yds per attempt, finishing the contest with 149 yards on 41 carries. UCF conceded 46 running attempts for 189 yds (4.1 yds per rush). The Knights pass defense allowed a completion percentage of 65.8%, relinquishing 253 yards on 25 out of 38 passing.

The UCF Knights are averaging 499.6 yards/game, which has them sitting 6th in the country. The UCF offense has racked up 383 penalty yards on 47 violations, which is good for 49th in Division 1 in terms of helping out the opposition. They average 232.4 yards via the ground game and have run for 1,627 yards for this season. They have tossed 6 picks while allowing opponents to recover 4 fumbles and they have tallied 164 first downs. When it comes to their ability to score points, the Knights are ranked 30th in Division 1 by tallying 34.1 points per outing. Over the course of the season so far, the Knights have thrown for a total of 1,870 yards through the air together with holding an average of 267.1 passing yards per contest, which ranks 39th in Division 1.

The Knights are relinquishing 28.3 points per contest, which has them ranked 93rd in the nation. UCF has given up a total of 1,372 rushing yards (196.0 yards/game) in addition to 16 touchdowns by way of the ground game so far this season. This season, they have surrendered 198 points in total. They have yielded 7 touchdowns via the pass and 199.0 yards/game, which has them sitting 33rd in college football. The Knights defense has participated in 493 plays, which is good for 80th in Division 1. They have 1 fumbles and 5 interceptions for the season.

Who will win tonight's Mountaineers/Knights college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Mountaineers +4

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