West Virginia Mountaineers vs TCU Horned Frogs Prediction, 9/30/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: West Virginia Mountaineers vs TCU Horned Frogs

Date: Saturday, September 30, 2023

Location: Amon G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth, TX

TV: ESPN2

Odds/Point Spread: Horned Frogs (-7)

Total/Over-Under: 51

The West Virginia Mountaineers (3-1) are traveling to Amon G. Carter Stadium on Saturday, September 30, 2023 where they will take on the TCU Horned Frogs (3-1). TCU opens as 7-point favorites. The betting total comes in at 51.

The West Virginia Mountaineers come into this matchup with a record of 3-1 for this year. In their last matchup, the Mountaineers faced the Texas Tech Red Raiders and earned the victory with a final of 20-13. Nicco Marchiol went 12/21 with 78 yards passing and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rating of 85 and finished the contest with 2 picks. Nicco Marchiol led the offense in rushing for the Mountaineers with 15 totes for 72 yards (4.8 yards per carry). The West Virginia Mountaineers ran the football 42 times and amassed 157 yds, earning them an average of 3.7 yards per tote. In all, they had 64 plays which gave them 256 yards. West Virginia surrendered 15 pass completions on 43 tries for 161 yds, and a completion rate of 34.9%. When it came to stopping the run, the Mountaineers conceded 160 yards on 38 tries, which calculates to 4.2 yds per run allowed.

The Mountaineers have tallied 1,394 total yards this year. With reference to notching touchdowns, West Virginia has earned 6 touchdowns through the air and 8 rushing touchdowns. They have surrendered the ball 5 different times. West Virginia has tallied 77 1st downs offensively, and they have been flagged for 16 penalties for 157 yards. As a team they are averaging 189.5 yards in the run game which is 41st in the country. When it comes to putting points on the board, the West Virginia Mountaineers have an average of 27.0 points per contest.

Regarding passing yards, the Mountaineers have given up 805 yards which ranks them 44th in college football. They are allowing 201.3 yards per game via the pass as well as allowing a completion percentage of 47.9%. In total, they are giving up 311.0 yards/outing ranking them 35th in Division 1. They have yielded 6 touchdowns through the air as well as 2 touchdowns running the ball. Opposing teams are running for an average of 3.2 yards per rush and 109.8 yards on the ground per game so far this year. In total, they have given up 439 yards via the ground game in 4 games. The Mountaineers rank 37th in D-1 when it comes to the opposition scoring, conceding 18.5 PPG.

Get all of our College Football Expert Picks

The Horned Frogs head into this matchup 3-1 for this year. When they last stepped on the field, the Horned Frogs walked away with a victory by a final of 34-17 against the SMU Mustangs. Emani Bailey carried the football 25 times for 126 yds, finishing the game with 5.0 yds per carry for TCU. Chandler Morris (3 TDs) finished the contest with 261 yards on 23/32 passing while his quarterback rate was 171.3. He didn't toss any picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 8.2. TCU gave up 39 attempts on the ground for 158 yards (4.1 yds per carry). The Horned Frogs pass defense conceded a completion rate of 45.7%, surrendering 258 yds on 16 for 35 passing. The Horned Frogs finished the game with 457 yards and they ran 77 plays (5.9 yds per play). TCU ran for 4.4 yds per attempt, finishing the contest with 192 yds on 44 carries.

The TCU Horned Frogs average 501.0 yards/outing, which is good for 12th in the nation. The TCU offense has totaled 251 yards of penalties on 28 violations, which ranks them 34th in Division 1 in terms of helping out the other team. They average 208.3 rushing yards per game and have run for 833 yards for the season. They have given away 4 picks while allowing opponents to recover 2 fumbles and they have been able to earn 109 first downs. In relation to how much they score, the Horned Frogs rank 23rd in D-1 by tallying 38.3 points per contest. During the season so far, the Horned Frogs have racked up 1,171 yards via the pass as well as an average of 292.8 passing yards per outing, giving them a rank of 23rd in the country.

TCU has conceded a total of 340 yards via the ground game (85.0 yards/game) in addition to 4 touchdowns via the rush for the season. They have yielded 4 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 292.5 yards per game, which has them sitting 123rd in the nation. They have 2 fumbles recovered and 5 picks on the campaign. The Horned Frogs defense has participated in 292 plays, which is 111th in Division 1. The Horned Frogs are giving up 20.3 PPG, which has them ranked 48th in Division 1. This year, they have allowed 81 total points.

Who will win tonight's Mountaineers/Horned Frogs college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Horned Frogs -7

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here