Vanderbilt Commodores vs UNLV Runnin' Rebels Prediction, 9/16/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Vanderbilt Commodores vs UNLV Runnin' Rebels

Date: Saturday, September 16, 2023

Location: Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, NV

TV: CBSSN

Odds/Point Spread: Runnin' Rebels (+4)

Total/Over-Under: 57.5

The Vanderbilt Commodores (2-1) are traveling to Allegiant Stadium on Saturday, September 16, 2023 where they will compete against the UNLV Runnin' Rebels (1-1). Vanderbilt is 4-point favorites. The total is set at 57.5.

The Vanderbilt Commodores head into this game 2-1 for this season. In their last contest, the Commodores played against the Wake Forest Demon Deacons and took a loss by a score of 36-20. Patrick Smith was the rushing leader for the Commodores with 10 attempts for 77 yds (7.7 yds per carry). AJ Swann went 26/39 with 314 yards through the air and 3 touchdowns. He had a QB rating of 149.4 and walked away from the game with 2 picks. On the ground, the Commodores gave up 288 yards on 48 tries, which averages out to 6.0 yds per run surrendered. Vanderbilt surrendered 17 pass completions on 26 tries for 196 yards, and a completion rate of 65.4%. In all, they had 63 plays which converted into 423 yards. The Vanderbilt Commodores ran the rock 24 different times and accounted for 109 yards, which is an average of 4.5 yards per tote.

The Commodores have attained 1,181 yards in total for this campaign. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, Vanderbilt has amassed 9 touchdowns through the air and 4 rushing touchdowns. They have surrendered the ball 4 different times. Vanderbilt has a total of 62 1st downs as a team, and they have committed 16 penalties for 134 yds. As a team they maintain an average of 121.0 yards in the run game which is 100th in D-1. In terms of getting in the endzone, the Vanderbilt Commodores hold an average of 34.0 points per game.

The Commodores are ranked 87th in college football when it comes to the opposition scoring, allowing 25.7 points per game. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.4 yards per attempt on the ground and 154.3 rushing yards per game for the campaign. In total, they have allowed 463 running yards through 3 outings. When talking about yards through the air, the Commodores are allowing 690 yards which ranks them 124th in Division 1. They have conceded 230.0 yards per game through the air in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 65.3%. Over the course of this year, they are surrendering 384.3 yards per outing which puts them 93rd in college football. They have surrendered 6 touchdowns through the air as well as 2 touchdowns running the ball.

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The Runnin' Rebels head into this game 1-1 for this year. The last time they took the gridiron, the Runnin' Rebels went home defeated by a final of 35-7 when they played the Michigan Wolverines. Doug Brumfield ended the game with 100 yds on 10/19 passing while his quarterback rating was 96.8. He didn't toss any interceptions and his Y/A was 5.3. Jordan Younge-Humphrey ran the ball 2 times for 23 yards, walking away from the game with 11.5 yds per attempt for UNLV. The Runnin' Rebels finished the contest with 229 yds and they ran 57 plays (4.0 yds per play). UNLV ran the football for 2.0 yards per carry, totaling 61 yards on 31 attempts. UNLV gave up 33 run attempts for 179 yards (5.4 yards per rush). The Runnin' Rebels pass defense gave up a completion rate of 82.1%, surrendering 313 yards on 23 out of 28 through the air.

When looking at their ability to score points, the Runnin' Rebels are sitting 96th in the nation maintaining an average of 25.5 PPG. The UNLV Runnin' Rebels hold an average of 311.5 yards/game, ranking them 119th in Division 1. The UNLV offense has totaled 80 yards of penalties on 9 violations, which ranks 99th in the country in terms of helping out the opposition. They have thrown 1 pick while losing 1 fumble and they have been able to obtain 35 1st downs. For the season to this point, the Runnin' Rebels have thrown for a total of 294 yards through the air together with an average of 147.0 passing yards per game, putting them at 125th in the nation. They maintain an average of 164.5 rushing yards per game and have rushed for 329 yards for the year.

The Runnin' Rebels are relinquishing 24.5 PPG, ranking them 78th in Division 1. UNLV has conceded a total of 358 rushing yards (179.0 yards/game) and 5 touchdowns via the rush on the season. In total, they have given up 49 points in total. They have surrendered 2 touchdowns via the pass and 271.5 yards per contest, which has them sitting 107th in the nation. The Runnin' Rebels defense has participated in 132 plays, which is 75th in the nation. They have tallied 0 fumbles recovered and 2 picks on the campaign.

Who will win tonight's Commodores/Runnin' Rebels college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Runnin' Rebels +4

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