Vanderbilt Commodores vs Ole Miss Rebels Prediction, 10/28/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Vanderbilt Commodores vs Ole Miss Rebels

Date: Saturday, October 28, 2023

Location: Vaught-Hemingway Stadium in Oxford, MS

TV: SEC Network

Odds/Point Spread: Rebels (-21)

Total/Over-Under: 63.5

The Vanderbilt Commodores (2-6) are en route to Vaught-Hemingway Stadium on Saturday, October 28, 2023 where they will attempt to defeat the Ole Miss Rebels (6-1). Ole Miss opens as 21-point favorites. The total is 63.5.

The Vanderbilt Commodores come into this game with a record of 2-6 this season. In their last game, the Commodores faced the Georgia Bulldogs and took a loss by a final of 37-20. Ken Seals connected on 19/29 with 201 yds passing and 2 TDs. He had a quarterback rating of 139.6 and ended the contest with 1 pick. Sedrick Alexander was the rushing leader for the Commodores with 6 totes for 16 yds (2.7 yards per attempt). The Vanderbilt Commodores rushed the ball a total of 15 times and tallied 18 yds, earning them an average of 1.2 yards per attempt. In all, they had 44 plays which gave them 219 yds. Vanderbilt allowed 29 pass completions on 39 attempts for 261 yards, and a completion percentage of 74.4%. On the ground, the Commodores conceded 291 yards on 39 attempts, which is an average of 7.5 yds per rush allowed.

The Commodores have racked up 2,792 total yards for the year. When it comes to notching touchdowns, Vanderbilt has earned 19 passing touchdowns and 8 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the football over 14 different times. Vanderbilt has amassed 140 1st downs offensively, and they have been called for 39 penalties for 341 yards. As a team they average 83.3 yards on the ground which ranks them 129th in college football. Concerning putting points on the board, the Vanderbilt Commodores are averaging 27.8 points per game.

In terms of yards via the pass, the Commodores have conceded 2,107 yards which puts them in 127th in the country. They have surrendered 263.4 yards per contest via the pass as well as allowing a completion percentage of 68.8%. Over the course of this year, they are giving up 437.5 yards/game which puts them 119th in Division 1. They have surrendered 16 touchdowns via the pass and 13 touchdowns via the ground game. Opposing teams are running for an average of 5.0 yards per attempt on the ground and 174.1 rushing yards per contest for the season. In total, they have conceded 1,393 yards via the ground game in 8 games. The Commodores sit in 124th in the nation when it comes to team defense, giving up 34.4 points per game.

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The Rebels come into this game with a record of 6-1 this season. When they last stepped on the field, the Rebels got the victory with a final of 28-21 when they faced the Auburn Tigers. Quinshon Judkins ran the ball 21 times for 124 yards, walking away from the game with 5.9 yds per carry for Ole Miss. Jaxson Dart (1 TD) finished the contest with 202 yds on 10/17 passing while his QB rate was 166.3. He tossed 1 pick and his average yards per pass attempt was 11.9. Ole Miss relinquished 39 rushing attempts for 153 yards (3.9 yards per rush). The Rebels secondary gave up a completion percentage of 70.6%, relinquishing 122 yards on 12 for 17 passing. The Rebels finished the contest with a total of 425 yds while they ran 74 plays (5.7 yards per play). Ole Miss ran the football for 4.0 yards per carry, finishing the contest with 223 yds on 56 attempts.

The Ole Miss Rebels hold an average of 480.1 yards per contest, which has them sitting 12th in Division 1. The Ole Miss offense has racked up 456 yds of penalties on 51 violations, which has them ranked 27th in Division 1 in terms of helping out the other team. They maintain an average of 189.0 yards per game via the rush and have rushed for 1,323 yards in total. They have given away 4 interceptions while letting opponents recover 1 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 160 first downs. In relation to how much they score, the Rebels are sitting 9th in college football holding an average of 39.7 points per game. For the season thus far, the Rebels currently sit at 2,038 yards through the air in addition to an average of 291.1 passing yards per game, which has them ranked 19th in Division 1.

The Rebels are relinquishing 23.4 PPG, which puts them 56th in D-1. Ole Miss has given up a total of 914 rushing yards (130.6 yards/game) in addition to 9 touchdowns by way of the ground game so far this year. In total, they have conceded 164 points in total. They have conceded 11 touchdowns through the air and 241.6 yards/contest, which puts them in 92nd in college football. The Rebels defense has participated in 504 plays, which is good for 90th in the nation. They have tallied 4 fumbles and 7 picks on the year.

Who will win tonight's Commodores/Rebels college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Commodores +21

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