Vanderbilt Commodores vs Florida Gators Prediction, 10/7/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Vanderbilt Commodores vs Florida Gators

Date: Saturday, October 7, 2023

Location: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville, FL

TV: SEC Network

Odds/Point Spread: Gators (-19)

Total/Over-Under: 54

The Vanderbilt Commodores (2-4) are en route to Ben Hill Griffin Stadium on Saturday, October 7, 2023 where they will compete against the Florida Gators (3-2). Florida opens as 19-point favorites. The betting total comes in at 54.

The Vanderbilt Commodores head into this game 2-4 for this season. In their last matchup, the Commodores faced off with the Missouri Tigers and ended up losing by a score of 38-21. Ken Seals connected on 20/31 with 259 yds passing and 2 TDs. He had a quarterback rating of 149.5 and finished the game with 1 interception. Jayden McGowan was the leader on the ground for the Commodores with 3 carries for 24 yards (8.0 yards per carry). The Vanderbilt Commodores ran the ball 20 different times and accumulated 41 yards, which came out to an average of 2.1 yds per carry. In the game, they tallied 51 plays which totaled 300 yards. Vanderbilt conceded 33 completions on 41 tries for a total of 395 yds, and a completion percentage of 80.5%. In the running game, the Commodores gave up 137 yds on 34 attempts, which calculates to 4.0 yards per run allowed.

When it comes to scoring, the Vanderbilt Commodores are averaging 31.3 points per game. As a team they are averaging 97.3 yards rushing which is 120th in D-1. The Commodores have earned 2,229 total yards for this campaign. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, Vanderbilt has totaled 15 passing touchdowns and 7 touchdowns via the ground. Vanderbilt has tallied 118 first downs as an offense, and they have been hurt by 29 penalties for 264 yards. They have turned the football over 12 different times.

When it comes to passing yards, the Commodores have given up 1,566 yards which has them ranked 132nd in the nation. They are allowing 261.0 yards per outing via the pass in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 64.7%. In total, they are conceding 408.8 yards per game putting them at 107th in the nation. They have yielded 12 touchdowns by air in addition to 8 touchdowns pounding the rock. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.2 yards per rush and 147.8 rushing yards per contest on the year. For the season, they have allowed 887 rushing yards through 6 games. The Commodores sit in 115th in college football when it comes to the opposition scoring, allowing 33.3 points per game.

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The Gators come into this matchup with a record of 3-2 this season. When they last stepped on the field, the Gators took a loss by a final score of 33-14 when they played the Kentucky Wildcats. Graham Mertz (2 TDs) walked away from the contest with 244 yards on 25/30 passing while his QB rate was 167. He had 1 interception and his average yards per pass attempt was 8.1. Montrell Johnson ran the football 10 times for 42 yards, ending the contest with 4.2 yards per attempt for Florida. Florida rushed for 2.4 yards per tote, totaling 69 yds on 29 attempts. The Gators finished the contest with a total of 313 yds and they ran 59 plays (5.3 yds per play). The Gators secondary allowed a completion rate of 45.0%, relinquishing 69 yds on 9 for 20 through the air. Florida conceded 36 rushing attempts for 329 yds (9.1 yards per rush).

Regarding the points being put on the board, the Gators are ranked 93rd in the nation holding an average of 25.0 points per game. The Florida Gators hold an average of 392.6 yards per outing, ranking them 68th in college football. The Florida offense has racked up 217 yds of penalties on 33 infractions, ranking them 49th in Division 1 in terms of hurting your team. They have thrown 2 picks while losing 3 fumbles and they have been able to earn 108 first downs. Over the course of the season to this point, the Gators have a total of 1,260 passing yards in addition to an average of 252.0 passing yards per outing, which has them ranked 52nd in the nation. They hold an average of 140.6 rushing yards per game and have rushed for 703 yards in total.

The Gators are surrendering 17.4 points per contest, which puts them 25th in the nation. Florida has given up a total of 657 yards rushing (131.4 yards per outing) and 7 touchdowns rushing for the year. This season, they have allowed 87 points. They have given up 4 touchdowns through the air as well as 144.0 yards/outing, which puts them in 3rd in D-1. The Gators defense has been on the field for 266 plays, which is 11th in the country. They have tallied 0 fumbles recovered and 1 pick for the season.

Who will win tonight's Commodores/Gators college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Commodores +19

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