UTSA Roadrunners vs North Texas Mean Green Prediction, 11/4/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: UTSA Roadrunners vs North Texas Mean Green

Date: Saturday, November 4, 2023

Location: DATCU Stadium in Denton, TX

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Mean Green (+6)

Total/Over-Under: 70.5

DATCU Stadium is the location where the North Texas Mean Green (3-5) will attempt to beat the UTSA Roadrunners (5-3) on Saturday, November 4, 2023. North Texas opens this contest as 6-point underdogs. The total comes in at 70.5.

The UTSA Roadrunners head into this game 5-3 this year. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Roadrunners took on the East Carolina Pirates and took home the win by a score of 41-27. Frank Harris went 20/32 with 395 yards passing and 4 touchdowns. He had a QB rating of 201.2 and walked away from the game with 1 pick. Rocko Griffin was the rushing leader for the Roadrunners with 5 totes for 80 yds (16.0 yards per carry). For the game, they ran 66 plays which gave them 515 yds. The UTSA Roadrunners ran the ball 32 times and had 120 yards, earning them an average of 3.8 yds per attempt. In the running game, the Roadrunners gave up 141 yards on 35 attempts, which calculates to 4.0 yds per run surrendered. UTSA conceded 23 completions on 43 attempts for a total of 225 yds, and a completion rate of 53.5%.

The Roadrunners have racked up 3,275 total yards over the course of this year. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, UTSA has earned 18 passing touchdowns and 13 touchdowns via the ground. They have surrendered the ball 13 different times. UTSA has accrued 176 1st downs as a team, and they have been called for 47 penalties for 414 yds. As a team they're maintaining an average of 151.4 yards via the ground game which ranks them 73rd in the country. When it comes to putting points on the board, the UTSA Roadrunners are averaging 30.5 points per game.

When it comes to yards via the pass, the Roadrunners are conceding 1,913 yds which has them sitting in 90th in college football. They have conceded 239.1 yards per game through the air in addition to allowing a completion percentage of 58.4%. For the year, they have surrendered 370.5 yards per contest which puts them 63rd in D-1. They have yielded 12 touchdowns through the air in addition to 10 touchdowns running the ball. They are giving up an average of 3.6 yards per rushing attempt and 131.4 yards on the ground per game so far this year. During the season, they have allowed 1,051 yards via the running game in 8 games. The Roadrunners are ranked 66th in the nation regarding team defense, giving up 25.4 PPG.

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The Mean Green step onto the field holding a record of 3-5 this year. When they last stepped on the gridiron, the Mean Green took a loss by a final score of 45-42 against the Memphis Tigers. Chandler Rogers (5 TDs) ended the contest with 411 yds on 32/49 passing while his QB rating was 169.4. He kept the ball away from the defense with no interceptions and his Y/A was 8.4. Ayo Adeyi ran the ball 10 times for 104 yds, finishing the game with 10.4 yds per carry for North Texas. North Texas rushed the ball for 7.5 yards per carry, finishing with 180 yds on 24 attempts. The Mean Green finished the game with 591 yards and they ran 74 plays (8.0 yds per play). The Mean Green secondary conceded a completion percentage of 78.6%, surrendering 330 yards on 22 out of 28 passing. North Texas relinquished 41 attempts on the ground for 270 yards (6.6 yds per carry).

When discussing the points being put on the board, the Mean Green rank 19th in Division 1 averaging 35.5 points per game. The North Texas Mean Green average 485.3 yards per contest, ranking them 9th in college football. The North Texas offense has totaled 325 penalty yds on 32 infractions, which has them sitting 126th in D-1 in terms of helping out the opposition. They have given away 5 interceptions while letting opponents recover 6 fumbles and they have been able to record 196 1st downs. During the season to this point, the Mean Green currently have a total of 2,447 passing yards in addition to holding an average of 305.9 passing yards per contest, which ranks 12th in the country. They have an average of 179.4 run yards per game and have rushed for 1,435 yards in total.

North Texas has given up a total of 2,055 yards via the ground game (256.9 yards per game) in addition to 24 touchdowns via the rush so far this year. They have given up 15 touchdowns from the passing game in addition to 218.9 yards per outing, which has them sitting 57th in the nation. Their defense has totaled 4 fumbles and 8 interceptions for the year. The Mean Green defense has participated in 584 plays, which ranks them 111th in Division 1. The Mean Green are surrendering 36.6 points per game, ranking them 128th in the country. This year, they have conceded 293 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Roadrunners/Mean Green college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Mean Green +6

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