Utah Utes vs USC Trojans Prediction, 10/21/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Utah Utes vs USC Trojans

Date: Saturday, October 21, 2023

Location: Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum in Los Angeles, CA

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Trojans (-7)

Total/Over-Under: 55.5

The USC Trojans (6-1) host the Utah Utes (5-1) at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum on Saturday, October 21, 2023. Utah opens this game as 7-point dogs. The betting total comes in at 55.5.

The Utah Utes come into this game with a record of 5-1 for this season. In their last matchup, the Utes played the California Golden Bears and took home the win by a score of 34-14. Sione Vaki was the leader on the ground for the Utes with 15 attempts for 158 yds (10.5 yards per carry). Bryson Barnes went 15/21 with 128 yds passing. He had a quarterback rating of 122.6 and ended the contest without throwing an interception. On the ground, the Utes gave up 66 yards on 24 attempts, which calculates to 2.8 yards per run surrendered. Utah gave up 15 completions on 31 attempts for a total of 188 yds, and a completion percentage of 48.4%. In all, they had 75 plays for 445 yards. The Utah Utes ended up rushing 53 times and recorded 317 yards, which came out to an average of 6.0 yards per carry.

When talking about getting in the endzone, the Utah Utes have an average of 21.7 points per contest. Offensively they're averaging 172.7 yards on the ground ranking them 47th in college football. The Utes have racked up 1,933 total yards over the course of this season. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, Utah has amassed 4 passing touchdowns and 10 touchdowns via the ground. Utah has 104 first downs offensively, and they have been hurt by 28 infractions for 219 yds. They have given the ball to the opposition 3 different times.

The Utes are sitting in 5th in the country regarding team defense, giving up 12.2 PPG. The opposition is running for an average of 2.5 yards per run and 66.8 rushing yards per contest this season. In total, they have given up 401 yards on the ground through 6 contests. Regarding yards through the air, the Utes are giving up 1,266 yds which puts them in 32nd in Division 1. They have given up 211.0 yards per game through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 52.9%. Over the course of this year, they have relinquished 277.8 yards per contest which has them ranked 9th in the country. They have relinquished 5 touchdowns by air and 4 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Trojans head into this matchup 6-1 for this season. When they last stepped on the field, the Trojans walked away with a loss by a score of 48-20 against the Notre Dame Fighting Irish. Caleb Williams (1 TD) ended the game with 199 yds on 23/37 through the air while his QB rating was 100. He tossed 3 picks and his Y/A was 5.4. Marshawn Lloyd ran the football 8 times for 46 yds, ending the game with 5.8 yds per attempt for USC. USC rushed for 2.8 yds per carry, finishing the game with 103 yards on 37 attempts. The Trojans ended up finishing with 302 yards and they ran 74 plays (4.1 yds per play). The Trojans pass defense gave up a completion rate of 65.0%, surrendering 126 yds on 13 for 20 passing. USC conceded 29 rush attempts for 125 yds (4.3 yards per carry).

When it comes to their ability to score points, the Trojans are ranked 2nd in the nation by scoring 47.3 points per contest. The USC Trojans maintain an average of 491.7 yards per game, ranking them 9th in college football. The USC offense has accrued 547 yards of penalties on 60 infractions, which is good for 4th in Division 1 in terms of giving up free yards. They have given away 4 interceptions while surrendering 5 fumbles and they have been able to record 174 first downs. For the year thus far, the Trojans have compiled 2,330 yards via the pass along with an average of 332.9 passing yards per game, putting them at 8th in D-1. They maintain an average of 158.9 yards per game via the rush and have run for 1,112 yards in total.

The Trojans are relinquishing 30.0 points per contest, which has them sitting 98th in Division 1. USC has surrendered a total of 1,067 yards via the ground game (152.4 yards per outing) and 8 touchdowns rushing so far this season. This year, they have allowed 210 points in total. They have allowed 17 touchdowns from the passing game in addition to 244.6 yards per contest, which has them ranked 91st in the nation. The Trojans defense has been on the field for 491 plays, which ranks 118th in college football. They have 4 fumbles recovered and 4 picks so far this year.

Who will win tonight's Utes/Trojans college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Utes +7

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