Utah State Aggies vs San Diego State Aztecs Prediction, 11/4/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: Utah State Aggies vs San Diego State Aztecs
Date: Saturday, November 4, 2023
Location: Snapdragon Stadium in San Diego, CA
TV: FS2
Odds/Point Spread: Aztecs (+2)
Total/Over-Under: 57
Snapdragon Stadium is the site where the San Diego State Aztecs (3-5) will attempt to defeat the Utah State Aggies (3-5) on Saturday, November 4, 2023. San Diego State opens as 2-point dogs. The over/under is 57.
The Utah State Aggies come into this matchup with a record of 3-5 for this year. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Aggies faced the San Jose State Spartans and took a loss by a final of 42-21. Davon Booth was the rushing leader for the Aggies with 11 attempts for 43 yards (3.9 yds per attempt). McCae Hillstead finished 17/29 with 160 yds through the air and 2 TDs. He had a QB rating of 113.9 and ended the game with 2 interceptions. Against the run, the Aggies gave up 251 yards on 51 attempts, which calculates to 4.9 yards per rush surrendered. Utah State gave up 15 pass completions on 20 tries for a total of 119 yards, and a completion percentage of 75.0%. At the end of the game, they ran 62 plays which converted into 264 yds. The Utah State Aggies ran the football 33 different times and totaled 104 yds, which came out to an average of 3.2 yds per carry.
The Aggies have attained 3,609 total yards over the course of this year. In terms of distribution of touchdowns, Utah State has earned 25 touchdowns via the pass and 10 rushing touchdowns. They have surrendered the ball 17 different times. Utah State has 178 1st downs as a unit, and they have been flagged for 56 penalties for 494 yards. As a team they maintain an average of 163.8 yards in the run game which has them sitting 58th in the nation. Concerning scoring points, the Utah State Aggies are averaging 35.3 PPG.
The Aggies are ranked 122nd in the country when it comes to the opposition scoring, conceding 34.0 points per contest. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.2 yards per running attempt and 174.5 yards on the ground per game so far this season. Overall, they have given up 1,396 yards via the ground game in 8 contests. In terms of yards via the pass, the Aggies have conceded 1,876 yards which has them ranked 75th in the nation. They have yielded 234.5 yards per game through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 60.4%. Over the course of this season, they are surrendering 409.0 yards per outing which has them ranked 107th in the nation. They have given up 16 touchdowns by air as well as 19 touchdowns via the ground game.
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The Aztecs head into this game 3-5 for this year. The last time they took the field, the Aztecs walked away with a loss by a score of 6-0 against the Nevada Wolf Pack. Jalen Mayden finished the game with 47 yards on 6/14 through the air while his QB rating was 71.1. He didn't toss any interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 3.4. Jalen Mayden ran the ball 14 times for 52 yds, ending the game with 3.7 yards per attempt for San Diego State. The Aztecs finished the contest with a total of 204 yards while they ran 53 plays (3.8 yards per play). San Diego State ended up running for 4.0 yds per carry, totaling 157 yds on 39 attempts. San Diego State gave up 39 rushing attempts for 144 yds (3.7 yds per rush). The Aztecs pass defense conceded a completion rate of 40.9%, relinquishing 98 yds on 9 for 22 passing.
When discussing their ability to score points, the Aztecs rank 119th in Division 1 maintaining an average of 19.6 points per outing. The San Diego State Aztecs average 317.5 yards per contest, which ranks them 114th in Division 1. The San Diego State offense has compiled 379 yards of penalties on 43 infractions, which is good for 95th in D-1 in terms of hurting your team. They have given away 7 interceptions while letting opponents recover 6 fumbles and they have been able to tally 133 1st downs. Over the course of the season thus far, the Aztecs currently sit at 1,364 passing yards not to mention holding an average of 170.5 passing yards per outing, which has them ranked 116th in the nation. They are averaging 147.0 yards per game via the ground game and have run for 1,176 yards in total.
San Diego State has conceded a total of 1,303 yards via the ground game (162.9 yards/game) in addition to 13 touchdowns on the ground on the year. They have conceded 13 touchdowns through the air in addition to 257.1 yards/outing, which has them sitting 115th in the country. Their defense has compiled 5 fumbles recovered and 9 picks over the course of the season. The Aztecs defense has taken part in 538 plays, which ranks 74th in Division 1. The Aztecs are conceding 28.1 points per game, which has them ranked 89th in college football. Overall, they have conceded 225 total points.
Who will win tonight's Aggies/Aztecs college football game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Aztecs +2
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Additional Resources:
San Diego State Aztecs - Twitter
Utah State Aggies - Twitter