Utah State Aggies vs New Mexico Lobos Prediction, 11/24/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Utah State Aggies vs New Mexico Lobos

Date: Friday, November 24, 2023

Location: University Stadium in Albuquerque, NM

TV: CBSSN

Odds/Point Spread: Lobos (+9)

Total/Over-Under: 62

University Stadium is the location where the New Mexico Lobos (4-7) will meet the Utah State Aggies (5-6) on Friday, November 24, 2023. Utah State is 9-point favorites from oddsmakers. The over/under comes in at 62.

The Utah State Aggies step onto the field holding a record of 5-6 for this year. In their last matchup, the Aggies took on the Boise State Broncos and took a loss by a score of 45-10. Cooper Legas went 8/12 with 128 yards through the air and 1 TD. He had a QB rating of 183.8 and finished the game without throwing an interception. Davon Booth led the offense in rushing for the Aggies with 12 carries for 125 yds (10.4 yards per carry). The Utah State Aggies ran the ball a total of 42 times and totaled 164 yds, which is an average of 3.9 yards per carry. When all was said and done, they tallied 72 plays for 373 yards. Utah State allowed 8 completions on 18 attempts for a total of 93 yards, and a completion percentage of 44.4%. Against the run, the Aggies gave up 352 yds on 48 attempts, which is 7.3 yards per run allowed.

When it comes to scoring, the Utah State Aggies are sitting at 33.2 points per outing. Offensively they're maintaining an average of 176.1 yards on the ground ranking this team at 45th in the country. The Aggies have earned 4,857 total yards for the season. In terms of getting the ball in the endzone, Utah State has compiled 31 passing touchdowns and 13 touchdowns on the ground. Utah State has accrued 237 first downs as a unit, and they have committed 80 penalties for 708 yds. They have surrendered the football 23 times.

Regarding passing yards, the Aggies are conceding 2,396 yards which ranks them 53rd in college football. They are conceding 217.8 yards per game via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 59.5%. During this campaign, they are allowing 404.4 yards/game which ranks them 100th in the country. They have yielded 23 touchdowns through the air and 24 touchdowns via the ground game. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.5 yards per rush and 186.5 yards on the ground per game this season. In total, they have allowed 2,052 rushing yards through 11 outings. The Aggies are sitting in 116th in D-1 when it comes to their opponents scoring, conceding 33.2 points per game.

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The Lobos head into this matchup 4-7 this season. For their last game, the Lobos walked away with a victory by a final of 25-17 when they played the Fresno State Bulldogs. Jacory Croskey-Merritt carried the ball 21 times for 204 yards, ending the contest with 9.7 yds per carry for New Mexico. Dylan Hopkins finished the contest with 124 yards on 8/18 passing while his QB rating was 80.1. He tossed 2 interceptions and his average yards per attempt was 6.9. New Mexico gave up 22 running attempts for 47 yds (2.1 yds per carry). The Lobos pass defense allowed a completion percentage of 58.6%, relinquishing 183 yds on 17 out of 29 passing. The Lobos finished the game with 528 yards while they ran 72 plays (7.3 yds per play). New Mexico rushed for 6.8 yards per tote, finishing with a total of 345 yds on 51 carries.

The New Mexico Lobos hold an average of 398.9 yards per outing, which has them ranked 58th in the country. The New Mexico offense has compiled 919 penalty yards on 105 violations, which is 1st in D-1 in terms of helping out the other team. They have an average of 179.5 yards per game on the ground and have toted the ball for 1,975 yards for this year. They have given away 10 interceptions while letting opponents recover 6 fumbles and they have been able to earn 244 1st downs. When discussing the points being put on the board, the Lobos are ranked 74th in D-1 averaging 26.0 points per contest. Over the course of the season so far, the Lobos have thrown for a total of 2,413 yards via the pass not to mention holding an average of 219.4 throwing yards per game, which has them sitting 76th in the country.

The Lobos are allowing 34.3 points per game, ranking them 120th in D-1. New Mexico has yielded a total of 1,777 yards via the ground game (161.5 yards/game) and 21 touchdowns on the ground on the campaign. This season, they have surrendered 377 total points. They have allowed 22 touchdowns through the air as well as 238.4 yards/game, ranking them 92nd in college football. The Lobos defense has been on the field for 650 plays, which ranks 7th in the nation. They have tallied 4 fumbles recovered and 3 picks this season.

Who will win tonight's Aggies/Lobos college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Aggies -9

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