USF Bulls vs Navy Midshipmen Prediction, 9/30/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: USF Bulls vs Navy Midshipmen

Date: Saturday, September 30, 2023

Location: Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium in Annapolis, MD

TV: CBSSN

Odds/Point Spread: Midshipmen (-4)

Total/Over-Under: 52.5

The Navy Midshipmen (1-2) will play the USF Bulls (2-2) at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium on Saturday, September 30, 2023. USF is 4-point underdogs. The over/under comes in at 52.5.

The USF Bulls come into this game with a record of 2-2 for this year. In their last game, the Bulls played the Rice Owls and earned the victory with a final of 42-29. Byrum Brown led the offense in rushing for the Bulls with 14 carries for 82 yds (5.9 yds per attempt). Byrum Brown finished 22/29 with 435 yards passing and 2 touchdowns. He had a QB rating of 224.6 and walked away from the contest with no picks. When it came to stopping the run, the Bulls gave up 1 yds on 20 attempts, which averages out to 0.1 yds per rush surrendered. USF relinquished 34 completions on 50 tries for a total of 491 yards, and a completion percentage of 68.0%. In all, they had 70 plays which converted into 597 yards. The USF Bulls ran the football 41 different times and totaled 162 yds, which had them averaging 4.0 yds per attempt.

In terms of scoring, the USF Bulls have an average of 26.8 points per contest. As a team they average 203.8 yards rushing ranking them 25th in college football. The Bulls have earned 1,737 total yards for this campaign. In terms of getting in the endzone, USF has earned 6 touchdowns through the air and 7 rushing touchdowns. USF has 89 first downs as a team, and they have been called for 39 infractions for 343 yds. They have surrendered the football 6 times.

Regarding yards via the pass, the Bulls are giving up 1,308 yds which puts them in 130th in the nation. They are conceding 327.0 yards per game via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 58.6%. For the year, they are granting 415.0 yards per game which has them sitting 107th in Division 1. They have given up 7 touchdowns by air and 6 touchdowns on the ground. Opposing teams are running for an average of 3.1 yards per running attempt and 88.0 rushing yards per game on the year. In total, they have conceded 352 yards on the ground through 4 outings. The Bulls are sitting in 96th in the country in terms of the opposition scoring, giving up 27.8 points per contest.

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The Midshipmen come into this matchup with a record of 1-2 for this season. In their last game, the Midshipmen took a defeat with a final score of 28-24 when they faced the Memphis Tigers. Tai Lavatai (1 touchdown) walked away from the contest with 133 yards on 10/19 passing while his QB rate was 128.8. He didn't toss any picks and his average yards per attempt was 7.0. Alex Tecza carried the rock 15 times for 163 yds, finishing the game with 10.9 yards per carry for Navy. The Midshipmen finished the game with 432 yds while running 70 plays (6.2 yards per play). Navy rushed the football for 6.0 yards per attempt, totaling 299 yds on 50 carries. Navy conceded 31 attempts on the ground for 190 yards (6.1 yds per rush). The Midshipmen secondary gave up a completion rate of 65.7%, relinquishing 218 yards on 23 out of 35 passing.

The Navy Midshipmen average 336.3 yards per contest, which ranks them 105th in college football. The Navy offense has 71 yds of penalties on 9 infractions, which ranks 133rd in Division 1 in terms of making mistakes. They are averaging 223.3 yards per game via the rush and have rushed for 670 yards overall. They have tossed 0 interceptions while surrendering 2 fumbles and they have recorded 49 first downs. Regarding how much they score, the Midshipmen rank 125th in the country holding an average of 17.0 points per game. During this campaign thus far, the Midshipmen have thrown for a total of 339 yards via the pass as well as holding an average of 113.0 passing yards per outing, which has them ranked 130th in college football.

Navy has allowed a total of 465 yards on the ground (155.0 yards per outing) and 5 touchdowns on the ground this year. They have surrendered 5 touchdowns via the pass and 204.7 yards/contest, which puts them in 51st in Division 1. They have totaled 2 fumbles recovered and 2 interceptions on the season. The Midshipmen defense has been on the field for 190 plays, which is 1st in D-1. The Midshipmen are surrendering 23.3 PPG, which has them 67th in college football. Over the course of the season, they have relinquished 70 total points.

Who will win tonight's Bulls/Midshipmen college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Bulls +4

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