USF Bulls vs Memphis Tigers Prediction, 11/4/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: USF Bulls vs Memphis Tigers

Date: Saturday, November 4, 2023

Location: Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium in Memphis, TN

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Tigers (-13)

Total/Over-Under: 67.5

The Memphis Tigers (6-2) are welcoming the USF Bulls (4-4) at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium on Saturday, November 4, 2023. Memphis opens as 13-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under is set at 67.5.

The USF Bulls come into this game with a record of 4-4 this year. In their last game, the Bulls played the Connecticut Huskies and notched a win by a score of 24-21. Byrum Brown finished 27/39 with 203 yards passing. He had a quarterback rate of 107.8 and finished the game with 1 interception. Nay'quan Wright was the best rusher for the Bulls with 26 carries for 186 yards (7.2 yards per carry). The USF Bulls ended up running the ball 49 times and totaled 260 yds, which came out to an average of 5.3 yards per carry. Once the final whistle blew, they ran 88 plays which converted into 463 yards. USF conceded 19 completions on 34 attempts for a total of 175 yds, and a completion rate of 55.9%. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Bulls conceded 193 yards on 32 attempts, which averages out to 6.0 yards per rush surrendered.

The Bulls have earned 3,500 yards in total for this campaign. When it comes to scoring, USF has compiled 12 touchdowns via the pass and 16 touchdowns via the ground. They have surrendered the football 14 different times. USF has amassed 182 first downs offensively, and they have been flagged for 61 infractions for 553 yds. As a team they maintain an average of 190.9 yards in the run game ranking them 24th in Division 1. In terms of putting the ball in the endzone, the USF Bulls hold an average of 28.0 PPG.

The Bulls rank 124th in Division 1 when it comes to the opposition scoring, allowing 34.3 PPG. The opposition is running for an average of 4.4 yards per rush and 155.4 yards on the ground per game on the year. Overall, they have given up 1,243 yards via the ground game in 8 contests. When it comes to passing yardage, the Bulls have conceded 2,310 yds which puts them in 127th in D-1. They have relinquished 288.8 yards per contest through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 61.8%. For the year, they are surrendering 444.1 yards per game putting them 121st in Division 1. They have yielded 17 touchdowns through the air and 18 touchdowns pounding the rock.

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The Tigers head into this game 6-2 for this season. When they last stepped on the field, the Tigers got the win with a final of 45-42 against the North Texas Mean Green. Seth Henigan (1 TD) walked away from the game with 330 yds on 22/28 passing while his QB rating was 189.4. He didn't throw any interceptions and his average yards per attempt was 11.8. Blake Watson ran the football 17 times for 169 yards, finishing the contest with 9.9 yards per carry for Memphis. The Tigers ended up finishing with 600 yards while running 69 plays (8.7 yards per play). Memphis ran the ball for 6.6 yards per carry, finishing the contest with 270 yards on 41 carries. Memphis allowed 24 rushing attempts for 180 yds (7.5 yards per carry). The Tigers passing defense allowed a completion percentage of 64.0%, relinquishing 411 yds on 32 for 50 passing.

When discussing their scoring prowess, the Tigers are ranked 15th in Division 1 with an average of 36.8 points per game. The Memphis Tigers have an average of 439.1 yards/contest, which is good for 35th in Division 1. The Memphis offense has 344 yards of penalties on 35 infractions, which is 118th in the nation in terms of making mistakes. They have tossed 7 picks while allowing opponents to recover 2 fumbles and they have been able to tally 171 first downs. During this campaign thus far, the Tigers have a total of 2,195 yards through the air along with an average of 274.4 passing yards per game, which has them ranked 35th in the country. They maintain an average of 164.8 yards per game via the rush and have toted the ball for 1,318 yards for the year.

Memphis has yielded a total of 1,276 yards on the ground (159.5 yards/game) and 10 touchdowns by way of the ground game so far this year. They have given up 13 touchdowns through the air in addition to 237.1 yards per contest, which has them sitting 85th in the nation. Their defense has totaled 8 fumbles and 5 picks for the year. The Tigers defense has participated in 531 plays, which is good for 61st in college football. The Tigers are conceding 25.1 points per game, which has them sitting 63rd in the country. This season, they have surrendered 201 total points.

Who will win tonight's Bulls/Tigers college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Bulls +13

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