USC Trojans vs Colorado Buffaloes Prediction, 9/30/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: USC Trojans vs Colorado Buffaloes

Date: Saturday, September 30, 2023

Location: Folsom Field in Boulder, CO

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Buffaloes (+14)

Total/Over-Under: 73.5

Folsom Field is the location where the Colorado Buffaloes (3-1) will compete against the USC Trojans (4-0) on Saturday, September 30, 2023. USC opens as 14-point favorites from oddsmakers. The over/under is 73.5.

The USC Trojans head into this game 4-0 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Trojans faced off with the Arizona State Sun Devils and went home with a win by a final score of 42-28. Marshawn Lloyd was the best rusher for the Trojans with 14 totes for 154 yds (11.0 yds per carry). Caleb Williams went 20/31 with 322 yards through the air and 3 TDs. He had a QB rating of 183.7 and ended the game with no picks. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Trojans conceded 90 yards on 32 attempts, which calculates to 2.8 yards per rush surrendered. USC conceded 23 completions on 39 attempts for a total of 263 yards, and a completion percentage of 59.0%. Once the final whistle blew, they tallied 60 plays which converted into 535 yards. The USC Trojans ran the football 29 different times and totaled 213 yds, which earned them an average of 7.3 yards per attempt.

Concerning scoring points, the USC Trojans hold an average of 55.0 points per game. As a team they're averaging 192.0 yards on the ground ranking them 35th in Division 1. The Trojans have earned 2,277 total yards for the year. When it comes to getting in the endzone, USC has totaled 16 touchdowns through the air and 11 touchdowns via the ground. USC has accrued 102 first downs as a team, and they have been flagged for 37 penalties for 347 yards. They have turned the football over 2 times.

The Trojans rank 47th in the country in terms of team defense, allowing 20.0 points per contest. They are giving up an average of 4.0 yards per tote and 136.5 yards on the ground per contest this year. Overall, they have allowed 546 yards via the ground game in 4 games. When talking about yards via the pass, the Trojans have conceded 912 yards which puts them in 69th in D-1. They have relinquished 228.0 yards per contest through the air as well as conceding a completion percentage of 55.4%. In total, they are conceding 364.5 yards/game putting them 72nd in the country. They have conceded 6 touchdowns by air in addition to 4 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Buffaloes head into this matchup 3-1 for this year. In their last game, the Buffaloes took a loss by a score of 42-6 when they faced the Oregon Ducks. Anthony Hankerson ran the ball 5 times for 31 yds, finishing the game with 6.2 yards per carry for Colorado. Shedeur Sanders (1 touchdown) ended the game with 159 yds on 23/33 through the air while his QB rating was 120.2. He didn't toss any interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 4.8. Colorado surrendered 38 rush attempts for 240 yds (6.3 yds per rush). The Buffaloes pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 85.7%, relinquishing 282 yds on 30 for 35 passing. The Buffaloes finished the game with 199 yards on 58 plays (3.4 yards per play). Colorado ran the ball for 1.6 yards per carry, totaling 40 yards on 25 carries.

The Colorado Buffaloes hold an average of 409.0 yards per contest, which is good for 57th in D-1. The Colorado offense has compiled 308 yards of penalties on 37 violations, ranking them 6th in D-1 in terms of giving up free yards. They average 55.8 yards via the ground game and have run for 223 yards for the year. They have given away 1 interception while losing 3 fumbles and they have tallied 90 1st downs. When it comes to how much they score, the Buffaloes are ranking 51st in Division 1 maintaining an average of 32.5 points per outing. During this campaign to this point, the Buffaloes have a total of 1,413 yards via the pass not to mention holding an average of 353.3 passing yards per game, which has them ranked 5th in the country.

The Buffaloes are relinquishing 33.3 PPG, which has them 116th in the nation. Colorado has given up a total of 826 yards rushing (206.5 yards per outing) as well as 8 touchdowns via the rush this year. In total, they have conceded 133 points. They have given up 10 touchdowns via the pass and 269.3 yards/outing, which has them sitting 112th in the country. The Buffaloes defense has been on the field for 302 plays, which ranks 122nd in Division 1. They have earned 4 fumbles and 7 picks so far this season.

Who will win tonight's Trojans/Buffaloes college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Buffaloes +14

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