UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs New Mexico Lobos Prediction, 11/4/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs New Mexico Lobos

Date: Saturday, November 4, 2023

Location: University Stadium in Albuquerque, NM

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Lobos (+11)

Total/Over-Under: 61.5

The New Mexico Lobos (3-5) host the UNLV Runnin' Rebels (6-2) at University Stadium on Saturday, November 4, 2023. New Mexico opens this matchup as 11-point dogs. The over/under has been set at 61.5.

The UNLV Runnin' Rebels head into this game 6-2 for this year. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Runnin' Rebels played against the Fresno State Bulldogs and took a loss by a final of 31-24. Jayden Maiava finished 21/35 with 268 yds passing and 2 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rate of 131.7 and walked away from the contest with 2 picks. Vincent Davis led the offense in rushing for the Runnin' Rebels with 12 totes for 68 yards (5.7 yds per attempt). The UNLV Runnin' Rebels ran the ball a total of 43 different times and tallied 156 yards, which is an average of 3.6 yards per tote. In all, they tallied 78 plays for 424 yards. UNLV relinquished 27 completions on 41 tries for 256 yds, and a completion percentage of 65.9%. In the running game, the Runnin' Rebels gave up 56 yards on 20 attempts, which averages out to 2.8 yds per run surrendered.

When talking about getting in the endzone, the UNLV Runnin' Rebels hold an average of 34.3 PPG. As a team they average 202.9 yards on the ground which is 18th in Division 1. The Runnin' Rebels have racked up 3,403 total yards for the year. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, UNLV has compiled 7 touchdowns through the air and 23 rushing touchdowns. UNLV has a total of 175 first downs as a unit, and they have been hurt by 56 infractions for 490 yards. They have surrendered the football 10 different times.

When it comes to yards through the air, the Runnin' Rebels have conceded 2,196 yards which ranks them 120th in Division 1. They are giving up 274.5 yards per contest via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 59.9%. Over the course of this season, they have relinquished 394.3 yards/game which puts them 91st in D-1. They have granted 15 touchdowns through the air in addition to 11 touchdowns via the ground game. They are giving up 3.7 yards per rush and 119.8 rushing yards per game on the season. Over the course of this season, they have given up 958 rushing yards through 8 games. The Runnin' Rebels are ranked 79th in the country when it comes to the opposition scoring, conceding 26.9 points per game.

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The Lobos come into this game with a record of 3-5 for this season. When they last stepped on the field, the Lobos went home defeated by a final of 34-24 against the Nevada Wolf Pack. Dylan Hopkins (1 TD) finished the contest with 271 yds on 18/34 through the air while his QB rate was 112. He threw 3 picks and his average yards per attempt was 8.0. Jacory Croskey-Merritt ran the football 11 times for 44 yards, walking away from the game with 4.0 yds per attempt for New Mexico. The Lobos finished the contest with 400 yds while they ran 63 plays (6.3 yds per play). New Mexico ran the ball for 3.6 yards per tote, finishing with a total of 83 yards on 23 attempts. New Mexico gave up 48 running attempts for 180 yards (3.8 yds per rush). The Lobos pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 52.6%, surrendering 131 yards on 10 for 19 through the air.

The New Mexico Lobos maintain an average of 396.9 yards per contest, which has them sitting 61st in D-1. The New Mexico offense has accrued 699 yards of penalties on 76 infractions, which is good for 4th in D-1 in terms of helping out the opposition. They average 167.6 yards per game via the ground game and have run for 1,341 yards for the year. They have tossed 8 picks while letting opponents recover 2 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 177 1st downs. Concerning the points being put on the board, the Lobos are ranking 62nd in college football averaging 29.1 points per outing. For the season thus far, the Lobos have racked up 1,834 yards through the air as well as an average of 229.3 passing yards per outing, which has them ranked 66th in the nation.

The Lobos are relinquishing 32.8 PPG, which has them sitting 115th in the country. New Mexico has conceded a total of 1,342 rushing yards (167.8 yards/game) in addition to 11 touchdowns on the ground on the year. This year, they have allowed 262 points. They have surrendered 17 touchdowns through the air and 240.9 yards per contest, which puts them in 95th in the country. The Lobos defense has taken part in 488 plays, which is good for 15th in the nation. Their defense has totaled 3 fumbles and 3 picks this season.

Who will win tonight's Runnin' Rebels/Lobos college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Runnin' Rebels -11

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