UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs Fresno State Bulldogs Prediction, 10/28/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs Fresno State Bulldogs

Date: Saturday, October 28, 2023

Location: Bulldog Stadium in Fresno, CA

TV: FS1

Odds/Point Spread: Bulldogs (-7)

Total/Over-Under: 58.5

Bulldog Stadium is where the Fresno State Bulldogs (6-1) will take on the UNLV Runnin' Rebels (6-1) on Saturday, October 28, 2023. Fresno State opens this matchup as 7-point favorites. The total comes in at 58.5.

The UNLV Runnin' Rebels come into this matchup with a record of 6-1 this year. The last time they took the field, the Runnin' Rebels took on the Colorado State Rams and walked away with a win by a score of 25-23. Jayden Maiava connected on 27/36 with 353 yds passing. He had a quarterback rating of 157.4 and ended the game without throwing an interception. Vincent Davis was the rushing leader for the Runnin' Rebels with 17 carries for 61 yards (3.6 yds per attempt). The UNLV Runnin' Rebels ended up running the ball 46 times and recorded 138 yds, which is an average of 3.0 yds per attempt. Once the final whistle blew, they ran 82 plays which gave them a total of 491 yards. UNLV relinquished 21 pass completions on 33 attempts for 235 yards, and a completion percentage of 63.6%. Against the run, the Runnin' Rebels conceded 137 yds on 31 tries, which averages out to 4.4 yds per run surrendered.

Regarding getting in the endzone, the UNLV Runnin' Rebels are averaging 35.7 points per contest. As a team they're maintaining an average of 209.6 yards rushing giving them a rank of 15th in D-1. The Runnin' Rebels have tallied 2,979 total yards for the year. In terms of distribution of touchdowns, UNLV has compiled 5 passing touchdowns and 22 rushing touchdowns. UNLV has accounted for 153 first downs as a team, and they have been called for 50 penalties for 433 yards. They have turned the football over 6 times.

The Runnin' Rebels are sitting in 78th in the nation when it comes to the opposition scoring, allowing 26.3 points per game. The opposition is running for 3.8 yards per rush and 128.9 rushing yards per contest this season. In total, they have given up 902 yards on the ground through 7 games. Concerning yards via the pass, the Runnin' Rebels have conceded 1,940 yds which puts them in 116th in D-1. They have conceded 277.1 yards per game via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 58.8%. Over the course of this season, they have allowed 406.0 yards/game which puts them 106th in Division 1. They have yielded 11 touchdowns through the air in addition to 11 touchdowns pounding the rock.

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The Bulldogs head into this matchup 6-1 for this season. When they last stepped on the field, the Bulldogs got the win with a final of 37-32 against the Utah State Aggies. Malik Sherrod carried the rock 24 times for 131 yards, walking away from the game with 5.5 yds per attempt for Fresno State. Logan Fife (1 touchdown) finished the game with 291 yds on 22/39 through the air while his QB rating was 127.5. He kept the ball away from the defense with no picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 7.5. Fresno State relinquished 42 rushing attempts for 205 yds (4.9 yds per rush). The Bulldogs pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 57.5%, surrendering 363 yds on 23 out of 40 passing. The Bulldogs ended up finishing with 461 yards and they ran 80 plays (5.8 yds per play). Fresno State rushed for 3.8 yards per carry, finishing with 151 yds on 40 carries.

The Fresno State Bulldogs average 415.7 yards per contest, which is good for 50th in D-1. The Fresno State offense has totaled 374 yds of penalties on 42 infractions, which is good for 74th in the nation in terms of giving up free yards. They have an average of 112.9 yards per game via the ground game and have rushed for 790 yards for the season. They have thrown 5 picks while losing 0 fumbles and they have tallied 164 first downs. When it comes to the points being put on the board, the Bulldogs rank 31st in D-1 by tallying 34.0 points per game. During this campaign thus far, the Bulldogs have a total of 2,120 yards through the air together with an average of 302.9 passing yards per game, which is ranked 15th in the nation.

The Bulldogs are relinquishing 20.1 PPG, which puts them 38th in the country. Fresno State has yielded a total of 801 yards rushing (114.4 yards per game) and 6 touchdowns via the rush for the year. In total, they have relinquished 141 total points. They have yielded 11 touchdowns through the air and 215.1 yards per game, which has them sitting 54th in Division 1. The Bulldogs defense has been on the field for 472 plays, which is good for 60th in the country. Their defense has earned 4 fumbles recovered and 10 picks on the season.

Who will win tonight's Runnin' Rebels/Bulldogs college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Bulldogs -7

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