UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs Air Force Falcons Prediction, 11/18/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs Air Force Falcons

Date: Saturday, November 18, 2023

Location: Falcon Stadium in USAF Academy, CO

TV: CBSSN

Odds/Point Spread: Falcons (-9)

Total/Over-Under: 47

Falcon Stadium is the location where the Air Force Falcons (8-2) will compete against the UNLV Rebels (8-2) on Saturday, November 18, 2023. Air Force opens this matchup as 9-point favorites. The over/under is set at 47.

The UNLV Rebels come into this matchup with a record of 8-2 for this year. In their last contest, the Rebels played the Wyoming Cowboys and notched a win by a score of 34-14. Jayden Maiava went 17/24 with 232 yds passing and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rating of 165.8 and walked away from the contest with no picks. Jayden Maiava was the leader on the ground for the Rebels with 11 attempts for 40 yards (3.6 yards per attempt). At the end of the game, they had 70 plays which gave them 397 yards. The UNLV Rebels ran the football 46 times and amassed 165 yds, which had them averaging 3.6 yards per carry. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Rebels gave up 121 yards on 33 attempts, which is an average of 3.7 yds per run allowed. UNLV conceded 15 completions on 28 tries for 176 yards, and a completion percentage of 53.6%.

Regarding scoring, the UNLV Rebels are averaging 36.4 points per game. As a team they average 197.9 yards rushing which has them sitting 20th in Division 1. The Rebels have earned 4,238 total yards for this campaign. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, UNLV has earned 11 touchdowns via the pass and 31 rushing touchdowns. UNLV has accrued 211 1st downs offensively, and they have been called for 66 infractions for 550 yards. They have surrendered the ball 11 different times.

In terms of passing yardage, the Rebels have conceded 2,568 yards which ranks them 116th in the nation. They have given up 256.8 yards per contest via the pass in addition to allowing a completion percentage of 59.8%. Overall, they are giving up 381.3 yards per game which ranks them 73rd in the country. They have conceded 16 touchdowns via the pass and 14 touchdowns pounding the rock. The opposition is running for 3.7 yards per rush and 124.5 rushing yards per game for the campaign. Overall, they have given up 1,245 rushing yards through 10 outings. The Rebels are sitting in 54th in college football when it comes to team defense, giving up 24.3 points per game.

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The Falcons head into this matchup 8-2 for this season. When they last stepped on the gridiron, the Falcons went home defeated by a final of 27-13 when they faced the Hawaii Warriors. Jensen Jones finished the contest with 114 yds on 3/7 passing while his QB rating was 151.1. He tossed 1 pick and his Y/A was 16.3. Dylan Carson ran the ball 13 times for 87 yds, finishing the game with 6.7 yards per attempt for Air Force. Air Force rushed for 4.3 yards per attempt, finishing the game with 201 yds on 47 carries. The Falcons finished the game with a total of 315 yards while running 56 plays (5.6 yards per play). The Falcons passing defense gave up a completion rate of 75.9%, relinquishing 176 yds on 22 out of 29 passing. Air Force allowed 29 rushing attempts for 121 yds (4.2 yards per carry).

When it comes to how much they score, the Falcons sit 63rd in the nation holding an average of 28.5 PPG. The Air Force Falcons hold an average of 362.8 yards/outing, which has them sitting 84th in the country. The Air Force offense has racked up 272 penalty yards on 32 violations, which has them sitting 130th in the country in terms of helping out the other team. They have given away 5 picks while letting opponents recover 10 fumbles and they have been able to earn 200 1st downs. During the season to this point, the Falcons have compiled 869 yards through the air in addition to holding an average of 86.9 passing yards per contest, giving them a rank of 133rd in Division 1. They maintain an average of 275.9 rushing yards per game and have run for 2,759 yards overall.

Air Force has allowed the opposition a total of 860 yards via the ground game (86.0 yards/game) as well as 7 touchdowns via the rush this season. They have conceded 12 touchdowns through the air and 159.3 yards per outing, which has them sitting 5th in Division 1. Their defense has earned 4 fumbles recovered and 5 interceptions so far this season. The Falcons defense has taken part in 568 plays, which is 2nd in Division 1. The Falcons are surrendering 15.7 points per game, which has them sitting 7th in D-1. In total, they have conceded 157 total points.

Who will win tonight's Rebels/Falcons college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Falcons -9

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